Watson
WR · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points17.3pts
projected 14.8
Bernard
WR · PIT vs CLE
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.8pts
Christian Watson or Germie Bernard: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
WatsonWR · GB vs CARUsually 18.5−3.7pts this week
Helps him
- 26.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 26.6 points.
- 39%big weeks39% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.53 touchdowns, below his usual 0.86.
- −1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 72.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.0.
- CARvs WRsEdgeCAR is the 6th toughest defense for receivers.
BernardWR · PIT vs CLEUsually 8.4+2.3pts this week
Helps him
- +2.2pts3 linesReceiving yards 44.5 (usual 36.3), touchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.14) and catches 4.5 (usual 3.9) all sit above his usual.
- +6.9last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.9 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- 5.4floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.4 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWatson: 14.8 (best)Bernard: 10.8
TD pointsof the projectionWatson: 3.2 (best)Bernard: 1.7
Expected TDsthis weekWatson: 0.53 (best)Bernard: 0.28
Projected team pointsWatson: 25.5 (best)Bernard: 21.5
Red zone targetsper gameWatson: 1.0 (best)Bernard: 0.9
Role
Snap shareWatson: 80% (best)Bernard: 61%
Usage worthptsWatson: 14.1 (best)Bernard: 9.1
Target shareWatson: 22% (best)Bernard: 15%
Targets / gameWatson: 8.0 (best)Bernard: 5.3
Air yards shareWatson: 31% (best)Bernard: 12%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWatson: AboveBernard: In line
WOPRWatson: 0.54 (best)Bernard: 0.33
RZ target shareWatson: 18%Bernard: 20% (best)
Catch rateWatson: 61%Bernard: 73% (best)
SeparationWatson: 2.5 ydsBernard: 3.2 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWatson: +0.2Bernard: +1.0 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWatson: Earned by usage 14.1Scored 18.5Bernard: Earned by usage 9.1Scored 8.4
Vacated targets this weekWatson: 8.8Bernard: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareWatson: 22% (best)Bernard: 8%
Range
FloorWatson: 8.4 (best)Bernard: 5.4
CeilingWatson: 26.6 (best)Bernard: 18.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWatson: 28%Bernard: 10%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Watson: 39% (best)Bernard: 17%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWatson: 12% (best)Bernard: 50%
SteadinessWatson: Steady (best)±9.8 ptsBernard: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWatson: D2026, 6 gmBernard: C+ (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptWatson: Expected to leadBernard: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWatson: 1.2 (best)Bernard: 1.3
Defense funnelWatson: NeutralBernard: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWatson: 6th (tough)Bernard: 8th (tough) (best)
Starting QBWatson: Love (Active)Bernard: Rodgers (Active)
Opp defender outWatson: Phillips (LB)Bernard: None listed
Roof / surfacegrassWatson: OpenBernard: Open
Rest / scheduleWatson: Short week (4d)Bernard: Normal
Opp paceWatson: 6th (fast) (best)Bernard: 22nd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWatson: 2.01st (tough)Bernard: 5.0 (best)32nd (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedWatson: 61% (best)15th (average)Bernard: 58%6th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWatson: 17.5 (best)Bernard: 15.3
Last 5 avgWatson: 16.5 (best)Bernard: 10.3
vs seasonWatson: −1.0 (Steady)Bernard: +6.9 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runWatson: 2.63 (best)Bernard: 1.59
Receiving aDOTWatson: 13.4Bernard: 5.7
Target share trendWatson: CoolingBernard: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesWatson: 98% (best)Bernard: 52%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWatson: WR13 (best)Bernard: WR28
Yards linereceivingWatson: 72.0 (best)Bernard: 44.5
Deciding on someone else?
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