Watson
WR · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points17.3pts
projected 14.8
Coker
WR · CAR @ GB
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points11.6pts
projected 13.2
Christian Watson or Jalen Coker: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Nuvela’s call
We started Christian Watson over Jalen Coker.
| Player | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Watson Start | 14.8 | 17.3 |
| Coker First out | 13.2 | 11.6 |
Christian Watson scored 17.3 to 11.6.
Highlights
WatsonStartWR · GB vs CARUsually 18.5−3.7pts this week
Helps him
- 39%big weeks39% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.53 touchdowns, below his usual 0.86.
- −1.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 72.0 receiving yards, below his usual 85.0.
- CARvs WRsEdgeCAR is the 6th toughest defense for receivers.
CokerFirst outWR · CAR @ GBUsually 16.5−3.3pts this week
Helps him
- GBvs WRsEdgeGB is the 7th softest defense for receivers.
- 20.4ceilingHis best weeks reach about 20.4 points.
Hurts him
- −1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 62.5 receiving yards, below his usual 77.5.
- −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.8.
- −0.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.40 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.
- 6th toughestper targetEdgeGB allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.73 pts, 6th toughest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWatson: 14.8 (best)Coker: 13.2
TD pointsof the projectionWatson: 3.2 (best)Coker: 2.4
Expected TDsthis weekWatson: 0.53 (best)Coker: 0.40
Projected team pointsWatson: 25.5 (best)Coker: 22.0
Red zone targetsper gameWatson: 1.0Coker: 1.0
Role
Snap shareWatson: 80% (best)Coker: 67%
Usage worthptsWatson: 14.1 (best)Coker: 13.7
Target shareWatson: 22%Coker: 23% (best)
Targets / gameWatson: 8.0 (best)Coker: 7.8
Air yards shareWatson: 31% (best)Coker: 29%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWatson: AboveCoker: Above
WOPRWatson: 0.54 (best)Coker: 0.53
RZ target shareWatson: 18%Coker: 19% (best)
Catch rateWatson: 61%Coker: 64% (best)
SeparationWatson: 2.5 ydsCoker: 2.7 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWatson: +0.2 (best)Coker: −0.1
Usage worth vs scoredWatson: Earned by usage 14.1Scored 18.5Coker: Earned by usage 13.7Scored 14.0
Vacated targets this weekWatson: 8.8 (best)Coker: 3.0
Inside 10 target shareWatson: 22%Coker: 29% (best)
Range
FloorWatson: 8.4 (best)Coker: 5.5
CeilingWatson: 26.6 (best)Coker: 20.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWatson: 28%Coker: 17%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Watson: 39% (best)Coker: 11%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWatson: 12% (best)Coker: 46%
SteadinessWatson: Steady (best)±9.8 ptsCoker: Volatile±10.1 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWatson: D2026, 6 gmCoker: B+ (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptWatson: Expected to lead (best)Coker: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWatson: 1.2 (best)Coker: 1.9
Defense funnelWatson: NeutralCoker: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWatson: 6th (tough)Coker: 9th (tough) (best)
Starting QBWatson: Love (Active)Coker: Young (Active)
Opp defender outWatson: Phillips (LB)Coker: Franklin (OLB)
Roof / surfacegrassWatson: OpenCoker: Open
Rest / scheduleWatson: Short week (4d)Coker: Short week (4d)
Opp paceWatson: 6th (fast) (best)Coker: 19th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWatson: 2.01st (tough)Coker: 2.1 (best)5th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWatson: 61%15th (average)Coker: 65% (best)23rd (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWatson: 17.5 (best)Coker: 7.1
Last 5 avgWatson: 16.5 (best)Coker: 14.0
vs seasonWatson: −1.0 (Steady) (best)Coker: −6.8 (Cooling)
Yards per route runWatson: 2.63 (best)Coker: 2.45
Receiving aDOTWatson: 13.4Coker: 11.7
Target share trendWatson: CoolingCoker: Left Week 3 hurt
Games since injuryWatson: None recentlyCoker: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesWatson: 98% (best)Coker: 70%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWatson: WR13 (best)Coker: WR16
Yards linereceivingWatson: 72.0 (best)Coker: 62.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.