Odunze
WR · CHI vs NYJ
Proj pts
9pts
market
Kupp
WR · SEA vs LAC
Proj pts
8.8pts
market
Cooper Kupp or Rome Odunze: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Rome Odunze over Cooper Kupp by 0.2. Rome Odunze leads at 9.0. Cooper Kupp is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Crowd: 40% of managers started Odunze.
Highlights
Pros
- Every-down role88% of snaps
Cons
- Thin volume4.4 targets/g
- Tough matchupTough · D+ vs WR
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Odunze 33%, Kupp 19%.
Latest game on the card: Odunze 7.4, Kupp 14.6 (PPR points).
Why Rome Odunze
Start Rome Odunze — projects 9.0, an even matchup vs NYJ, but the role is cooling.
Rome Odunze projects 9.0 points on a 6.6–14.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NYJ. Usage: targets / game at 7.5. Net: start Rome Odunze this week.
Working for Odunze: Every-down role (88% of snaps).
Where Odunze leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.0 vs 8.8); Floor (6.6 vs 4.8); Ceiling (14.9 vs 10.8); Target share (24% vs 16%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C vs D+); Last 5 avg (6.6 vs 6.1); Targets / game (7.5 vs 4.4); Snap share (88% vs 76%).
Why Cooper Kupp
Sit Cooper Kupp — projects 8.8, a tough matchup vs LAC.
Cooper Kupp projects 8.8 points on a 4.8–10.8 range. The matchup grades as tough against LAC. Usage: targets / game at 4.4. Net: bench Cooper Kupp this week.
Working against Kupp: Thin volume (4.4 targets/g), Tough matchup (Tough · D+ vs WR).
Where Kupp leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (24.8 vs 23.5); Last 3 avg (8.0 vs 7.3); vs season (-0.9 vs -1.9); Consistency (48% vs 30%); Boom rate (25% vs 17%); Bust rate (19% vs 33%); Red zone targets (16 vs 14).
Recent form
Rome Odunze's last 5 games: PPR points 8.3, 2.8, 7.2, 7.3, 7.4 (oldest to newest).
Cooper Kupp's last 5 games: PPR points 1.6, 4.9, 5.5, 4, 14.6 (oldest to newest).
Odunze has already beaten Kupp's 8.8 projection in 0 of his 5; Kupp has beaten Odunze's 9 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Rome Odunze (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.
Cooper Kupp (SEA) faces LAC, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 24.8, spread -7.0.
What flips it
Odunze's edge is 0.2 points (9 to 8.8). Kupp's ceiling (10.8) clears Odunze's projection, so a big game from Kupp flips it. Odunze's floor (6.6) sits under Kupp's projection, so a quiet game from Odunze flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DJ Moore or DK Metcalf12.5 · 12.5
- Tee Higgins or Zay Flowers16.5 · 16.5
- Christian Watson or George Pickens16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)