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Week7 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison

Kiner

RB · NE vs CHI

FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE

Final points1.3pts

projected 3.2

Davis

RB · NYJ vs MIA

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points2.7ptsUsage estimate

Corey Kiner or Isaiah Davis: who should I start in Week 7?

Corey Kiner already played (1.3 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare Isaiah Davis with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ET
  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.11 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.+0.7 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 14.5 rushing yards, below his usual 23.0.−0.8 pts
    • Everything else+0.7 pts

    Usually scores 2.6 → projected 3.2+0.6 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • He handles only 11% of his team's touches, so the work is shared.
    • EdgeHis team was expected to trail, which can cut his carries.
  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year's pace.+1.1 pts
    • Helps him: Most players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.+0.8 pts

    Usually scores 1.3 → projected 2.7+1.5 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeMIA is the 7th softest defense for running backs.
    • EdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
    • He handles only 4% of his team's touches, so the work is shared.
    • A quiet week could drop to about 0.9 points.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKiner: 3.2 (best)Davis: 2.7
TD pointsof the projectionKiner: 0.7Davis: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekKiner: 0.11Davis: Our estimate
Projected team pointsKiner: 23.8 (best)Davis: 22.0
Goal line carriesper gameKiner: 0.0Davis: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameKiner: 1.2 (best)Davis: 0.5
Red zone targetsper gameKiner: 0.2 (best)Davis: 0.0
Role
Snap shareKiner: 12% (best)Davis: 6%
Usage worthptsKiner: 3.2 (best)Davis: 1.4
Touch shareKiner: 11% (best)Davis: 4%
Target shareKiner: 1%Davis: 2% (best)
Touches / gameKiner: 5.5 (best)Davis: 1.8
Targets / gameKiner: 0.3Davis: 0.5 (best)
Vacated touches this weekKiner: 2.0 (best)Davis: 0.0
High value touches / gameKiner: 0.7 (best)Davis: 0.3
Goal line carry shareKiner: 0%Davis: 0%
Red zone touches / gameKiner: 1.3 (best)Davis: 0.5
Rush success rateKiner: 39%Davis: 44% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Kiner: 3.2% (best)Davis: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredKiner: Earned by usage 3.2Scored 2.6Davis: Earned by usage 1.4Scored 1.1
Rush yards / gameKiner: 23.0 (best)Davis: 4.0
Points from rushingKiner: 90%Davis: 38%
WOPRKiner: 0.01Davis: 0.02 (best)
RZ target shareKiner: 3% (best)Davis: 0%
Inside 10 target shareKiner: 0%Davis: 0%
Rushing points / gameKiner: 2.3 pts / game (best)Davis: 0.4 pts / game
Rushing floorKiner: 1.4 pts / game (best)Davis: 0.4 pts / game
Range
FloorKiner: 1.3 (best)Davis: 0.9
CeilingKiner: 5.4Davis: 5.7 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKiner: 0%Davis: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Kiner: 0%Davis: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterKiner: 100%Davis: 100%
SteadinessKiner: Volatile (best)±2.5 pts · 6 gamesDavis: Volatile±1.7 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionKiner: D+2026, 6 gmDavis: A- (best)2026, 5 gm
Game scriptKiner: Expected to trailDavis: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKiner: 1.5Davis: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelKiner: NeutralDavis: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedKiner: 8th (tough)Davis: 16th (average) (best)
Backfield roleKiner: BackupDavis: Backup
Opp defender outKiner: Edwards (LB)Davis: None listed
Roof / surfaceKiner: OpenDavis: Openturf
Rest / scheduleKiner: Short week (4d)Davis: Normal
Opp paceKiner: 1st (fast) (best)Davis: 31st (slow)
Opp stuff rateKiner: 18%18th (average)Davis: 18%15th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedKiner: 4.4 (best)24th (soft)Davis: 4.015th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedKiner: 15th (average) (best)Davis: 12th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameKiner: 0.2 (best)25th (soft)Davis: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedKiner: 79%19th (average)Davis: 82% (best)26th (soft)
Starting QBKiner: Maye (Active)Davis: Smith (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgKiner: 3.5 (best)Davis: 2.1
Last 5 avgKiner: 2.9 (best)Davis: 1.3
vs seasonKiner: +1.0 (Rising)Davis: +1.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryKiner: 4.5 (best)Davis: 2.7
Carries / gameKiner: 5.2 (best)Davis: 1.5
Yards per route runKiner: 4.00 (best)Davis: 2.38
Touch share trendKiner: RisingDavis: Rising
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKiner: RB61 (best)Davis: RB62
Yards linerushingKiner: 14.5Davis: Our estimate

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