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Sit or start?
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Week7 · 2026
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Scoring
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Sutton

WR · DEN vs ARI

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points8.8pts

Samuel

WR · SF vs ATL

Out · HamstringRuled out

Projected points—

Courtland Sutton or Deebo Samuel Sr.: who should I start in Week 7?

Start Courtland Sutton.

Highlights

Injuries as of Sat 5:00 AM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 33.5 receiving yards, above his usual 20.5.+1.3 pts
    • Helps him: His lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.2.+1.3 pts
    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.33 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.+1.0 pts

    Usually scores 5.2 → projected 8.8+3.6 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeARI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they're soft (2.06 pts, softest).

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSutton: 8.8Samuel: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionSutton: 2.0Samuel: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekSutton: 0.33Samuel: Ruled out
Projected team pointsSutton: 24.0Samuel: 26.0 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameSutton: 0.0Samuel: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameSutton: 0.0Samuel: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameSutton: 1.0Samuel: 1.0
Role
Snap shareSutton: 78% (best)Samuel: 58%
Usage worthptsSutton: 8.5 (best)Samuel: 7.7
Touch shareSutton: 5%Samuel: 11% (best)
Target shareSutton: 17% (best)Samuel: 14%
Touches / gameSutton: 2.2Samuel: 5.0 (best)
Targets / gameSutton: 4.7 (best)Samuel: 4.0
Air yards shareSutton: 32% (best)Samuel: 5%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSutton: In lineSamuel: Above
WOPRSutton: 0.49 (best)Samuel: 0.25
RZ target shareSutton: 26% (best)Samuel: 19%
Catch rateSutton: 46%Samuel: 80% (best)
SeparationSutton: 2.6 ydsSamuel: 4.5 yds (best)
YAC over expectedSutton: +0.8 (best)Samuel: +0.1
Usage worth vs scoredSutton: Earned by usage 8.5Scored 5.2Samuel: Earned by usage 7.7Scored 12.1
Rush yards / gameSutton: 0.0Samuel: 15.6 (best)
Points from rushingSutton: 0%Samuel: 13%
Vacated targets this weekSutton: 3.0Samuel: 9.5 (best)
High value touches / gameSutton: 2.2Samuel: 3.2 (best)
Goal line carry shareSutton: 0%Samuel: 0%
Red zone touches / gameSutton: 1.0Samuel: 1.0
Rush success rateSutton: 0 carriesSamuel: 44%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Sutton: 0 carriesSamuel: 22.2%
Inside 10 target shareSutton: 33% (best)Samuel: 29%
Rushing points / gameSutton: 0.0 pts / gameSamuel: 1.6 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorSutton: 0.0 pts / gameSamuel: 0.6 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorSutton: 4.7Samuel: Ruled out
CeilingSutton: 13.7Samuel: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSutton: 19%Samuel: 30%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Sutton: 8% (best)Samuel: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSutton: 48%Samuel: 40% (best)
SteadinessSutton: Up & down±6.0 ptsSamuel: Steady (best)±7.1 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmSutton: C+Samuel: B (best)
Game scriptSutton: Expected to lead (best)Samuel: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSutton: 1.3Samuel: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelSutton: PassSamuel: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSutton: 23rd (soft)Samuel: 29th (soft) (best)
Starting QBSutton: Nix (Active)Samuel: Purdy (Active)
Opp defender outSutton: Nolen (DT)Samuel: Deablo (LB)
Roof / surfaceSutton: Retractable roofgrassSamuel: Retractable roofturf
Rest / scheduleSutton: 10 days restSamuel: Normal
Opp paceSutton: 5th (fast) (best)Samuel: 21st (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSutton: 2.811th (average)Samuel: 5.2 (best)30th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedSutton: 60%14th (average)Samuel: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedSutton: 20th (average) (best)Samuel: 4th (tough)
Opp stuff rateSutton: 18% (best)20th (average)Samuel: 19%12th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedSutton: 4.2 (best)19th (average)Samuel: 3.913th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgSutton: 5.0Samuel: 12.0 (best)
Last 5 avgSutton: 5.6Samuel: 12.1 (best)
vs seasonSutton: −0.2 (Steady)Samuel: −0.1 (Steady) (best)
Yards per carrySutton: 0 carriesSamuel: 8.7
Carries / gameSutton: 0.0Samuel: 1.8 (best)
Yards per route runSutton: 0.79Samuel: 2.29 (best)
Receiving aDOTSutton: 10.9Samuel: 2.6
Target share trendSutton: CoolingSamuel: Steady
Games since injurySutton: None recentlySamuel: 0
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSutton: WR41Samuel: Ruled out
Yards linereceivingSutton: 33.5Samuel: Ruled out

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