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Week7 · 2026
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Scoring
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Downs

WR · IND vs MIN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.9pts

Samuel

WR · SF vs ATL

Out · HamstringRuled out

Projected points—

Josh Downs or Deebo Samuel Sr.: who should I start in Week 7?

Start Josh Downs.

Highlights

Injuries as of Mon 2:32 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.23 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.+1.4 pts
    • Helps him: His lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.+0.5 pts

    Usually scores 8.9 → projected 10.9+1.9 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.5 points.
    • EdgeMIN is the toughest defense for receivers.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDowns: 10.9Samuel: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionDowns: 1.4Samuel: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekDowns: 0.23Samuel: Ruled out
Projected team pointsDowns: 17.5Samuel: 26.0 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameDowns: 0.0Samuel: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameDowns: 0.2 (best)Samuel: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameDowns: 0.8Samuel: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareDowns: 81% (best)Samuel: 58%
Usage worthptsDowns: 12.3 (best)Samuel: 7.7
Touch shareDowns: 8%Samuel: 11% (best)
Target shareDowns: 21% (best)Samuel: 14%
Touches / gameDowns: 4.2Samuel: 5.0 (best)
Targets / gameDowns: 7.0 (best)Samuel: 4.0
Air yards shareDowns: 28% (best)Samuel: 5%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDowns: BelowSamuel: Above
WOPRDowns: 0.50 (best)Samuel: 0.25
RZ target shareDowns: 24% (best)Samuel: 19%
Catch rateDowns: 57%Samuel: 80% (best)
SeparationDowns: 2.4 ydsSamuel: 4.5 yds (best)
YAC over expectedDowns: +0.7 (best)Samuel: +0.1
Usage worth vs scoredDowns: Earned by usage 12.3Scored 8.9Samuel: Earned by usage 7.7Scored 12.1
Rush yards / gameDowns: 1.2Samuel: 15.6 (best)
Points from rushingDowns: 1%Samuel: 13%
Vacated targets this weekDowns: 10.7 (best)Samuel: 9.5
High value touches / gameDowns: 4.2 (best)Samuel: 3.2
Goal line carry shareDowns: 0%Samuel: 0%
Red zone touches / gameDowns: 1.0Samuel: 1.0
Rush success rateDowns: 100% (best)Samuel: 44%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Downs: 0%Samuel: 22.2% (best)
Inside 10 target shareDowns: 0%Samuel: 29% (best)
Rushing points / gameDowns: 0.1 pts / gameSamuel: 1.6 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorDowns: 0.0 pts / gameSamuel: 0.6 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorDowns: 6.9Samuel: Ruled out
CeilingDowns: 17.1Samuel: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDowns: 0%Samuel: 30%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Downs: 0%Samuel: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDowns: 33% (best)Samuel: 40%
SteadinessDowns: Very steady (best)±3.8 pts · 6 gamesSamuel: Steady±7.1 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDowns: F2026, 5 gmSamuel: B (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptDowns: Expected to trailSamuel: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDowns: 2.0Samuel: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelDowns: NeutralSamuel: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDowns: 3rd (tough)Samuel: 29th (soft) (best)
Starting QBDowns: Jones (Active)Samuel: Purdy (Active)
Opp defender outDowns: None listedSamuel: Deablo (LB)
Roof / surfaceturfDowns: DomeSamuel: Retractable roof
Rest / scheduleDowns: NormalSamuel: Normal
Opp paceDowns: 23rd (slow)Samuel: 21st (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDowns: 2.68th (tough)Samuel: 5.2 (best)30th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedDowns: 55%3rd (tough)Samuel: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedDowns: 5th (tough) (best)Samuel: 4th (tough)
Opp stuff rateDowns: 18% (best)19th (average)Samuel: 19%12th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedDowns: 3.88th (tough)Samuel: 3.9 (best)13th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgDowns: 7.0Samuel: 12.0 (best)
Last 5 avgDowns: 9.6Samuel: 12.1 (best)
vs seasonDowns: −1.9 (Cooling)Samuel: −0.1 (Steady) (best)
Yards per carryDowns: 1 carrySamuel: 8.7
Carries / gameDowns: 0.2Samuel: 1.8 (best)
Yards per route runDowns: 1.47Samuel: 2.29 (best)
Receiving aDOTDowns: 10.7Samuel: 2.6
Target share trendDowns: SteadySamuel: Steady
Games since injuryDowns: None recentlySamuel: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesDowns: 42%Samuel: Ruled out
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDowns: WR30Samuel: Ruled out
Yards linereceivingDowns: 49.0Samuel: Ruled out

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