Scoring
#1 Start

Sutton

WR · DEN vs SF

Sun 4:25 PM

Proj pts

11.9pts

market

Mod Conf
Bench

McConkey

WR · LAC vs SEA

Questionable
Sun 4:25 PM

Proj pts

11pts

market

Mod Conf

Courtland Sutton or Ladd McConkey: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Courtland Sutton over Ladd McConkey by 0.9. Courtland Sutton leads at 11.9. Ladd McConkey is the first one out, 0.9 short.

Crowd: 69% of managers started McConkey.

Availability & news

  • Ladd McConkeyQuestionable

    McConkey (foot) was seen walking out of the locker room with a limp after not taking part in Thursday's practice, Kris Rhim of ESPN reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Courtland SuttonStart
WR · DEN vs SF

Pros

  • Every-down role85% of snaps
Ladd McConkeyBench
WR · LAC vs SEA

Cons

  • Low team total17.8 team total
  • Tough matchupTough · D vs WR

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

SuttonStart
McConkeyBench
Projection11.911.0
Floor7.04.2
Ceiling19.417.5
Target share21%21%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B-D
Implied team total22.317.8

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Sutton 5.4, McConkey 12.1.

McConkey (Questionable): “McConkey (foot) was seen walking out of the locker room with a limp after not taking part in Thursday's practice, Kris Rhim of ESPN reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Sutton 7.6, McConkey 10.6 (PPR points).

Why Courtland Sutton

Start Courtland Sutton — projects 11.9, an even matchup vs SF, but the role is cooling.

Courtland Sutton projects 11.9 points on a 7.0–19.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against SF. Usage: targets / game at 7.3. Net: start Courtland Sutton this week.

Working for Sutton: Every-down role (85% of snaps).

Where Sutton leads the head-to-head: Projection (11.9 vs 11.0); Floor (7.0 vs 4.2); Ceiling (19.4 vs 17.5); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs D); Implied team total (22.3 vs 17.8); Consistency (45% vs 41%); Bust rate (24% vs 31%); Targets / game (7.3 vs 6.6); Snap share (85% vs 78%); Red zone targets (21 vs 15).

Why Ladd McConkey

Sit Ladd McConkey — projects 11.0, a tough matchup vs SEA.

Ladd McConkey projects 11.0 points on a 4.2–17.5 range. The matchup grades as tough against SEA. Usage: targets / game at 6.6. Net: bench Ladd McConkey this week.

Working against McConkey: Low team total (17.8 team total), Tough matchup (Tough · D vs WR).

Where McConkey leads the head-to-head: Last 3 avg (12.1 vs 5.4); Last 5 avg (10.9 vs 5.1); vs season (+0.9 vs -5.9); Boom rate (19% vs 18%).

Recent form

Courtland Sutton's last 5 games: PPR points 8, 1.5, 3.1, 5.5, 7.6 (oldest to newest).

Ladd McConkey's last 5 games: PPR points 14.3, 4.1, 19.2, 6.5, 10.6 (oldest to newest).

Sutton has already beaten McConkey's 11 projection in 0 of his 5; McConkey has beaten Sutton's 11.9 in 2 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Courtland Sutton (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.

Ladd McConkey (LAC) faces SEA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 17.8, spread +7.0.

What flips it

Sutton's edge is 0.9 points (11.9 to 11). McConkey's ceiling (17.5) clears Sutton's projection, so a big game from McConkey flips it. Sutton's floor (7) sits under McConkey's projection, so a quiet game from Sutton flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.