Goedert
TE · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points11.2ptsUsage estimate
Henry
TE · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points10.3pts
Toss-up
Bench
Dallas Goedert or Hunter Henry: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Dallas Goedert gets the nod over Hunter Henry.
- Ahead by
- +0.9pts
- over Henry
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 82%
- of leagues
Goedert's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Henry
The case for Henry is more of the targets near the goal line (23% to 0%) and surer hands (84% of his targets caught to 71%).
Flips if
Start Hunter Henry instead if you want more of the targets near the goal line (23% to 0%).
Risk
Weather in Hunter Henry's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
GoedertToss-upTE · PHI @ WASUsually 13.8−2.7pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
Hurts him
- −1.6ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- −1.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- −0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
HenryFirst outTE · NE @ MIAUsually 9.7+0.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.1ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.47 touchdowns, above his usual 0.29.
- +4.4last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.4 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- 0%big weeksHe hasn’t had a big week this season.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionGoedert: 11.2 (best)Henry: 10.3
TD pointsof the projectionGoedert: Our estimateHenry: 2.8
Expected TDsthis weekGoedert: Our estimateHenry: 0.47
Projected team pointsGoedert: 17.0Henry: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameGoedert: 0.6Henry: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareGoedert: 69%Henry: 74% (best)
Usage worthptsGoedert: 9.8 (best)Henry: 7.6
Target shareGoedert: 18% (best)Henry: 15%
Targets / gameGoedert: 6.2 (best)Henry: 4.4
Air yards shareGoedert: 13% (best)Henry: 9%
Vacated targets this weekGoedert: 0.0Henry: 9.0 (best)
RZ target shareGoedert: 30% (best)Henry: 16%
Inside 10 target shareGoedert: 0%Henry: 23% (best)
Catch rateGoedert: 71%Henry: 84% (best)
SeparationGoedert: 2.9 ydsHenry: 4.8 yds (best)
YAC over expectedGoedert: +1.0 (best)Henry: +0.4
Usage worth vs scoredGoedert: Earned by usage 9.8Scored 11.4Henry: Earned by usage 7.6Scored 9.7
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsGoedert: AboveHenry: Above
WOPRGoedert: 0.37 (best)Henry: 0.30
Range
FloorGoedert: 7.1 (best)Henry: 6.1
CeilingGoedert: 18.0 (best)Henry: 16.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerGoedert: 21%Henry: 18%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Goedert: 20% (best)Henry: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterGoedert: 20%Henry: 14% (best)
SteadinessGoedert: Up & down±8.0 pts · 5 gamesHenry: Steady (best)±5.0 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmGoedert: A+ (best)Henry: A-
Game scriptGoedert: Expected to trailHenry: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterGoedert: 1.3Henry: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelGoedert: NeutralHenry: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedGoedert: 28th (soft) (best)Henry: 18th (average)
Starting QBGoedert: McKee (Active)Henry: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outGoedert: Kinlaw (DT)Henry: None listed
WeatherGoedert: No concernHenry: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassGoedert: OpenHenry: Open
Rest / scheduleGoedert: NormalHenry: 10 days rest
Opp paceGoedert: 12th (average) (best)Henry: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / game14th (average)Goedert: 0.5Henry: 0.5
Opp catch rate allowedGoedert: 76%23rd (soft)Henry: 92% (best)32nd (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgGoedert: 10.6Henry: 14.1 (best)
Last 5 avgGoedert: 11.4 (best)Henry: 11.0
vs seasonGoedert: −0.8 (Cooling)Henry: +4.4 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runGoedert: 2.04 (best)Henry: 1.93
Receiving aDOTGoedert: 5.5Henry: 6.0
Target share trendGoedert: SteadyHenry: Rising
Crowd
Started in leaguesGoedert: 82% (best)Henry: 77%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterGoedert: TE5 (best)Henry: TE10
Yards linereceivingGoedert: Our estimateHenry: 39.5
Deciding on someone else?
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