Dallas Goedert or Pat Freiermuth: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Dallas Goedert over Pat Freiermuth.
Ahead by
+4.7pts
over Freiermuth
Confidence
Moderate
The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started
82%
of leagues
Goedert's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Pat Freiermuth instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (29% of his games to 20%).
Risk
The case for Freiermuth is more of the targets near the goal line (25% to 0%).
Highlights
Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
GoedertLeanTE · PHI @ WASUsually 13.8−2.7pts this week
Helps him
+1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
WASvs TEsEdgeWAS is the 2nd softest defense for tight ends.
18.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 18.0 points.
Hurts him
−1.6ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
−1.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
−0.5ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
FreiermuthFirst outTE · PIT vs CLEUsually 9.6−3.2pts this week
Helps him
29%big weeks29% of his games have been big weeks.
10.9ceilingHis best weeks reach about 10.9 points.
Hurts him
−1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
−0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.3.
9th toughestper targetEdgeCLE allows plenty of TE chances because tight ends see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.71 pts, 9th toughest).
3.2floorA quiet week could drop to about 3.2 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
StatStat comparisonEvery player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
ScoringHigh impact
ProjectionGoedert: 11.2 (best)Freiermuth: 6.5
TD pointsof the projectionGoedert: Our estimateFreiermuth: 1.5