Bellinger
TE · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9pts
Knox
TE · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.3pts
Toss-up
Bench
Daniel Bellinger or Dawson Knox: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Daniel Bellinger. Swinging for a big week? Dawson Knox.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Knox
Bellinger has the safer floor (1.8 to 1.3); Knox has more upside (a ceiling of 5.7 to 4.6).
Flips if
Start Dawson Knox instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (8% of his games to 0%).
Risk
Bellinger has the safer floor (1.8 to 1.3); Knox has more upside (a ceiling of 5.7 to 4.6).
Highlights
BellingerToss-upTE · TEN @ CINUsually 1.3+1.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.1pts2 linesCatches 1.5 (usual 0.9) and touchdowns 0.09 (usual 0.00) both sit above his usual.
- CINvs TEsEdgeCIN is the 4th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 7games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 7 straight games.
KnoxFirst outTE · BUF vs BALUsually 2.9+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 7%targetsHe draws only 7% of his team’s targets.
- 1.7per gameHe sees only 1.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBellinger: 2.9Knox: 3.3 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionBellinger: 0.5Knox: 1.0 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekBellinger: 0.09Knox: 0.17 (best)
Projected team pointsBellinger: 17.0Knox: 28.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBellinger: 0.1Knox: 0.5 (best)
Role
Snap shareBellinger: 44%Knox: 69% (best)
Usage worthptsBellinger: 2.5Knox: 3.1 (best)
Target shareBellinger: 6%Knox: 7% (best)
Targets / gameBellinger: 1.6Knox: 1.7 (best)
Air yards shareBellinger: 3%Knox: 3%
Vacated targets this weekBellinger: 7.3 (best)Knox: 0.0
RZ target shareBellinger: 4%Knox: 12% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBellinger: 0%Knox: 17% (best)
Catch rateBellinger: 55%Knox: 80% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBellinger: Earned by usage 2.5Scored 1.3Knox: Earned by usage 3.1Scored 2.9
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBellinger: 1 RZ targetKnox: Above
WOPRBellinger: 0.10Knox: 0.13 (best)
Range
FloorBellinger: 1.8 (best)Knox: 1.3
CeilingBellinger: 4.6Knox: 5.7 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBellinger: 0%Knox: 34%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bellinger: 0%Knox: 8% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBellinger: 100%Knox: 66% (best)
SteadinessBellinger: Volatile (best)±1.2 pts · 7 gamesKnox: Volatile±4.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBellinger: A- (best)2026, 6 gmKnox: C2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBellinger: Expected to trailKnox: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBellinger: 1.5Knox: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelBellinger: NeutralKnox: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedBellinger: 26th (soft) (best)Knox: 15th (average)
Starting QBBellinger: Ward (Active)Knox: Allen (Active)
Opp defender outBellinger: None listedKnox: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceturfBellinger: OpenKnox: Open
Rest / scheduleBellinger: NormalKnox: Off a bye
Opp paceBellinger: 20th (average)Knox: 17th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBellinger: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Knox: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBellinger: 76%24th (soft)Knox: 76%25th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBellinger: 1.0Knox: 2.0 (best)
Last 5 avgBellinger: 1.5Knox: 3.2 (best)
vs seasonBellinger: −0.4 (Cooling) (best)Knox: −1.0 (Cooling)
Yards per route runBellinger: 0.67 (best)Knox: 0.46
Receiving aDOTBellinger: 3.7Knox: 4.0
Target share trendBellinger: SteadyKnox: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBellinger: TE47Knox: TE43 (best)
Yards linereceivingBellinger: 9.0 (best)Knox: 7.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.