TEBUF vs NETE512.3 projected (-2.2–16.9)PPR
Should I start Dawson Knox in Week 4?
Sit Dawson Knox in Week 4. Knox projects 2.3 PPR points to Tucker Kraft's 12.2.
Measured against the TE12 start line: Tucker Kraft, TE12 at 12.2 projected PPR points, the last tight end inside it.
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
Why Dawson Knox
Sit Dawson Knox — projects 2.3, an even matchup vs NE, but the role is cooling.
Dawson Knox projects 2.3 points on a -2.2–16.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NE. Usage: targets / game at 3.1. Net: bench Dawson Knox this week.
Working for Knox: High-scoring spot (27.8 team total), Spike upside (16.9 ceiling).
Working against Knox: Below your start line (10.0 pts short), Low TE usage (11% target share).
Matchup
Dawson Knox (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.
Recent form
Dawson Knox's last 4 games: PPR points 10.4, 1.7, 8.5, 1.5 (oldest to newest).
What flips it
Kraft's edge is 9.9 points (12.2 to 2.3). Knox's ceiling (16.9) clears Kraft's projection, so a big game from Knox flips it. Confidence in the call: high.
Compare Dawson Knox with…
The players closest to Dawson Knoxin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.
- Chig Okonkwo or Dawson KnoxTE · 5.5
- Cole Kmet or Dawson KnoxTE · 5.4
- Austin Hooper or Dawson KnoxTE · 5.3
- Dawson Knox or Tommy TrembleTE · 5.8
- Dawson Knox or Noah GrayTE · 5.1
- Dawson Knox or Jonnu SmithTE · 5.1
- Dawson Knox or Drew SampleTE · 5.1
- Dawson Knox or Zach ErtzTE · 6.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)