New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Worthy

WR · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points8.7pts

First out

Cooper

WR · PHI @ WAS

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET

Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate

Toss-up

Bench

Darius Cooper or Xavier Worthy: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Xavier Worthy gets the nod over Darius Cooper.

Ahead by: +1.0pts; over Cooper
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 42%; of leagues

Cooper's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Decides it

The case for Cooper is a softer pass defense and a faster paced opponent.

Flips if

Start Darius Cooper instead if you want a softer pass defense.

Risk

The risk: Worthy caught 3 for 11 yards last week (4.1 points).

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 1:00 PM ET

WorthyToss-upWR · KC @ DENUsually 8.6+0.1pts this week

Helps him

+0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.

Hurts him

−0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.0.
toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).
5.1floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.1 points.

CooperFirst outWR · PHI @ WASUsually 6.9+0.7pts this week

Helps him

+2.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
WASvs WRsEdgeWAS is the 11th softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

−1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection8.77.7

TD pointsof the projection1.7Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.29Our estimate

Projected team points20.817.0

Red zone targetsper game0.70.6

Role

Snap share82%56%

Usage worthpts9.94.7

Target share20%8%

Targets / game5.82.6

Air yards share27%12%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsIn lineAbove

WOPR0.480.21

RZ target share15%24%

Catch rate69%50%

Separation3.4 yds2.1 yds

YAC over expected−0.5+0.2

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.9Scored 8.6Earned by usage 4.7Scored 6.9

Vacated targets this week3.80.0

Inside 10 target share18%33%

Range

Floor5.13.9

Ceiling14.412.7

Points from TDssteadier when lower12%49%

Big weeks (20+ pts)0%0%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better46%40%

SteadinessSteady±4.2 ptsUp & down±7.3 pts · 5 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionD2026, 7 gmB2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.41.3

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed17th (average)28th (soft)

Starting QBMahomes (Active)McKee (Active)

Opp defender outElliss (LB)Kinlaw (DT)

Roof / surfacegrassOpenOpen

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace30th (slow)12th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game3.319th (average)3.826th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed54%2nd (tough)67%28th (soft)

Form

Last 3 avg9.86.6

Last 5 avg9.47.6

vs season+1.2 (Rising)−0.4 (Steady)

Yards per route run1.281.17

Receiving aDOT8.711.1

Target share trendCoolingSteady

Crowd

Started in leagues43%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR44WR49

Yards linereceiving33.0Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

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