Worthy
WR · KC vs LV
Proj pts
11.3pts
market
Lemon
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
10.7pts
market
Makai Lemon or Xavier Worthy: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Xavier Worthy over Makai Lemon by 0.6. Xavier Worthy leads at 11.3. Makai Lemon is the first one out, 0.7 short.
Highlights
Cons
- Shaky floor5.3 floor
Pros
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.0 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is boom rate: Worthy 8%, Lemon 33%.
Latest game on the card: Worthy 4 (PPR points).
Why Xavier Worthy
Start Xavier Worthy — projects 11.3, an even matchup vs LV.
Xavier Worthy projects 11.3 points on a 5.3–16.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LV. Usage: targets / game at 5.2. Net: start Xavier Worthy this week.
Working against Worthy: Shaky floor (5.3 floor).
Where Worthy leads the head-to-head: Projection (11.3 vs 10.7); Target share (16% vs 12%); Implied team total (26.0 vs 19.5); Last 3 avg (7.4 vs 3.4); Last 5 avg (5.7 vs 3.4); Consistency (55% vs 49%); Targets / game (5.2 vs 3.0); Snap share (71% vs 66%); Red zone targets (6 vs 0).
Why Makai Lemon
Sit Makai Lemon — projects 10.7, an even matchup vs LA.
Makai Lemon projects 10.7 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: bench Makai Lemon this week.
Working for Lemon: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Lemon: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.0 targets/g).
Where Lemon leads the head-to-head: vs season (+0.0 vs -1.2); Boom rate (33% vs 8%); Bust rate (0% vs 8%).
Recent form
Xavier Worthy's last 5 games: PPR points 6.1, 0.1, 4.8, 13.5, 4 (oldest to newest).
Makai Lemon's last 3 games: PPR points 1.9, 2.5, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Worthy has already beaten Lemon's 10.7 projection in 1 of his 5; Lemon has beaten Worthy's 11.3 in 0 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Xavier Worthy (KC) faces LV, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -4.5.
Makai Lemon (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Makai Lemon comparisons
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Ryan Flournoy10.7 · 10.7
- Kalif Raymond or Makai Lemon10.5 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Wan'Dale Robinson10.7 · 10.8
More Xavier Worthy comparisons
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Emeka Egbuka or Xavier Worthy11.4 · 11.3
- Tre Tucker or Xavier Worthy11.5 · 11.3
- Wan'Dale Robinson or Xavier Worthy10.8 · 11.3
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- Jalen Coker or Terry McLaurin14.4 · 14.4
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)