Mooney
WR · NYG vs ARI
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
TeSlaa
WR · DET vs CAR
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Darnell Mooney or Isaac TeSlaa: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Darnell Mooney over Isaac TeSlaa; the two are level at 6.3. Darnell Mooney leads at 6.3. Isaac TeSlaa is the first one out, 0.0 short.
Mooney and TeSlaa are effectively tied on projection — Mooney gets the start on the tie-break.
Highlights
Cons
- Thin volume4.8 targets/g
- Shaky floor4.6 floor
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.0 team total
- Big-play upside36% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share6% target share
- Thin volume1.9 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Mooney 33%, TeSlaa 10%.
Latest game on the card: Mooney 4.9 (PPR points).
Why Darnell Mooney
Start Darnell Mooney — projects 6.3, an even matchup vs ARI.
Darnell Mooney projects 6.3 points on a 4.6–6.7 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.8. Net: start Darnell Mooney this week.
Working against Mooney: Thin volume (4.8 targets/g), Shaky floor (4.6 floor).
Where Mooney leads the head-to-head: Floor (4.6 vs 2.6); Target share (16% vs 6%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C+ vs D); Last 3 avg (5.5 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (5.4 vs 4.7); vs season (-0.6 vs -2.1); Consistency (33% vs 10%); Bust rate (33% vs 36%); Targets / game (4.8 vs 1.9); Snap share (82% vs 43%).
Why Isaac TeSlaa
Sit Isaac TeSlaa — projects 6.3, a tough matchup vs CAR.
Isaac TeSlaa projects 6.3 points on a 2.6–14.9 range. The matchup grades as tough against CAR. Usage: targets / game at 1.9. Net: bench Isaac TeSlaa this week.
Working for TeSlaa: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Big-play upside (36% boom weeks).
Working against TeSlaa: Low target share (6% target share), Thin volume (1.9 targets/g).
Where TeSlaa leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (14.9 vs 6.7); Implied team total (27.0 vs 21.0); Boom rate (36% vs 20%); Red zone targets (11 vs 8).
Recent form
Darnell Mooney's last 5 games: PPR points 5.5, 5, 4.7, 6.8, 4.9 (oldest to newest).
Isaac TeSlaa's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 4.6, 9.6 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Mooney has already beaten TeSlaa's 6.3 projection in 1 of his 5; TeSlaa has beaten Mooney's 6.3 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Darnell Mooney (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.
Isaac TeSlaa (DET) faces CAR, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Mooney and TeSlaa are level on projection (6.3). TeSlaa's ceiling (14.9) clears Mooney's projection, so a big game from TeSlaa flips it. Mooney's floor (4.6) sits under TeSlaa's projection, so a quiet game from Mooney flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
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