Coleman
WR · BUF vs NE
Proj pts
6pts
market
Treadwell
WR · IND vs WAS
Proj pts
5.7pts
market
Keon Coleman or Laquon Treadwell: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Keon Coleman over Laquon Treadwell by 0.3. Keon Coleman leads at 6.0. Laquon Treadwell is the first one out, 0.4 short.
Availability & news
Keon ColemanPractice: DNP
Coleman (ankle) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.8 team total
Cons
- Thin volume4.9 targets/g
- Rotational snaps66% of snaps
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
Cons
- Low target share0% target share
- Thin volume0.0 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is snap share: Coleman 66%, Treadwell 6%.
Coleman (Practice: DNP): “Coleman (ankle) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Coleman 4.7 (PPR points).
Why Keon Coleman
Start Keon Coleman — projects 6.0, an even matchup vs NE, but the role is cooling.
Keon Coleman projects 6.0 points on a 4.1–11.6 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NE. Usage: targets / game at 4.9. Net: start Keon Coleman this week.
Working for Coleman: High-scoring spot (27.8 team total).
Working against Coleman: Thin volume (4.9 targets/g), Rotational snaps (66% of snaps).
Where Coleman leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.0 vs 5.7); Floor (4.1 vs 0.8); Ceiling (11.6 vs 9.2); Target share (17% vs 0%); Implied team total (27.8 vs 26.0); Last 3 avg (6.0 vs 4.0); Last 5 avg (6.8 vs 4.0); Targets / game (4.9 vs 0.0); Snap share (66% vs 6%); Red zone targets (14 vs 0).
Why Laquon Treadwell
Sit Laquon Treadwell — projects 5.7, a favorable matchup vs WAS.
Laquon Treadwell projects 5.7 points on a 0.8–9.2 range. The matchup grades as favorable against WAS. Usage: targets / game at 0.0. Net: bench Laquon Treadwell this week.
Working for Treadwell: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR).
Working against Treadwell: Low target share (0% target share), Thin volume (0.0 targets/g).
Where Treadwell leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs C); vs season (+1.6 vs -0.2); Consistency (47% vs 33%); Bust rate (17% vs 25%).
Recent form
Keon Coleman's last 4 games: PPR points 8.9, 1.1, 12.3, 4.7 (oldest to newest).
Laquon Treadwell's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 3, 9.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Coleman has already beaten Treadwell's 5.7 projection in 2 of his 4; Treadwell has beaten Coleman's 6 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Keon Coleman (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.
Laquon Treadwell (IND) faces WAS, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Coleman's edge is 0.3 points (6 to 5.7). Treadwell's ceiling (9.2) clears Coleman's projection, so a big game from Treadwell flips it. Coleman's floor (4.1) sits under Treadwell's projection, so a quiet game from Coleman flips it too. Confidence in the call: high.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)