Strong
RB · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points0.2pts
projected 4.6
Montgomery
RB · BYE
Bye
Projected points—
David Montgomery or Pierre Strong: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Nuvela’s call
We started Pierre Strong over David Montgomery.
| Player | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Start | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| Montgomery | — | — |
Highlights
StrongStartRB · GB vs CARUsually 5.5−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- CARvs RBsEdgeCAR is the 5th softest defense for running backs.
- −3.5spreadEdgeHis team was expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- −0.4ptsinjuryHis injury tag takes 0.4 points off his projection.
- −1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 16%touchesHe handles only 16% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 2.8floorA quiet week could drop to about 2.8 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionStrong: 4.6Montgomery: On bye
Projected team pointsStrong: 25.5Montgomery: On bye
Goal line carriesper gameStrong: 0.3Montgomery: 0.6 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameStrong: 2.0 (best)Montgomery: 1.8
Red zone targetsper gameStrong: 0.0Montgomery: 0.2 (best)
Role
Snap shareStrong: 36%Montgomery: 47% (best)
Usage worthptsStrong: 8.1Montgomery: 8.6 (best)
Touch shareStrong: 16%Montgomery: 25% (best)
Target shareStrong: 9% (best)Montgomery: 4%
Touches / gameStrong: 8.0Montgomery: 11.8 (best)
Targets / gameStrong: 3.3 (best)Montgomery: 1.4
Air yards shareStrong: Behind the lineMontgomery: 2%
Vacated touches this weekStrong: 10.2 (best)Montgomery: 7.0
High value touches / gameStrong: 3.3 (best)Montgomery: 2.4
Goal line carry shareStrong: 25%Montgomery: 50% (best)
Red zone touches / gameStrong: 2.0Montgomery: 2.0
Rush success rateStrong: 38% (best)Montgomery: 25%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Strong: 0%Montgomery: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredStrong: Earned by usage 8.1Scored 5.5Montgomery: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 9.1
Rush yards / gameStrong: 11.7Montgomery: 27.6 (best)
Points from rushingStrong: 21%Montgomery: 57%
WOPRStrong: 0.13 (best)Montgomery: 0.07
RZ target shareStrong: 0%Montgomery: 6% (best)
Inside 10 target shareStrong: 0%Montgomery: 25% (best)
Catch rateStrong: 80%Montgomery: 100% (best)
Rushing points / gameStrong: 1.2 pts / gameMontgomery: 5.2 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorStrong: 1.2 pts / gameMontgomery: 3.2 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorStrong: 2.8Montgomery: On bye
CeilingStrong: 7.1Montgomery: On bye
Points from TDssteadier when lowerStrong: 0%Montgomery: 40%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Strong: 2 gamesMontgomery: 25%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterStrong: 2 gamesMontgomery: 75%
SteadinessStrong: 2 gamesMontgomery: Volatile±11.9 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionStrong: A2026, 6 gmMontgomery: On bye
Game scriptStrong: Expected to leadMontgomery: On bye
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterStrong: 1.2Montgomery: On bye
Defense funnelStrong: NeutralMontgomery: On bye
Opp rush yds allowedStrong: 32nd (soft)Montgomery: On bye
Backfield roleStrong: BackupMontgomery: Committee
Opp defender outStrong: Phillips (LB)Montgomery: On bye
Roof / surfaceStrong: OpengrassMontgomery: On bye
Rest / scheduleStrong: Short week (4d)Montgomery: On bye
Opp paceStrong: 6th (fast)Montgomery: On bye
Opp stuff rateStrong: 12%30th (soft)Montgomery: On bye
Opp yards per carry allowedStrong: 5.231st (soft)Montgomery: On bye
Opp pass yds allowedStrong: 6th (tough)Montgomery: On bye
Opp deep targets allowed / gameStrong: 0.01st (tough)Montgomery: On bye
Opp catch rate allowedStrong: 74%11th (average)Montgomery: On bye
Starting QBStrong: Love (Active)Montgomery: Stroud (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgStrong: 5.5 (best)Montgomery: 4.1
Last 5 avgStrong: 5.5Montgomery: 9.1 (best)
vs seasonStrong: Cooling (best)Montgomery: −5.0 (Cooling)
Yards per carryStrong: 2.2Montgomery: 2.7 (best)
Carries / gameStrong: 5.3Montgomery: 10.4 (best)
Yards per route runStrong: 1.32 (best)Montgomery: 1.08
Receiving aDOTStrong: −0.7Montgomery: 3.6
Touch share trendStrong: SteadyMontgomery: Left Week 5 hurt
Games since injuryStrong: None recentlyMontgomery: 0
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterStrong: RB54Montgomery: On bye
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.