Bartholomew
TE · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: DNP
Projected points3.3ptsUsage estimate
Knox
TE · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.3pts
Toss-up
Bench
Dawson Knox or Gavin Bartholomew: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Gavin Bartholomew gets the nod over Dawson Knox.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Knox
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Bartholomew's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Knox
The case for Knox is an offense expected to score more (28.8 points to 21.3) and more of the snaps (69% to 17%).
Flips if
If Gavin Bartholomew is ruled out or inactive, start Dawson Knox.
Risk
Gavin Bartholomew was DNP in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 10:00 PM ET
Highlights
BartholomewToss-upTE · MIN @ DETUsually 2.1+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- DETvs TEsEdgeDET is the softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 5%targetsHe draws only 5% of his team’s targets.
- 1.3per gameHe sees only 1.3 targets a game.
KnoxFirst outTE · BUF vs BALUsually 2.9+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 7%targetsHe draws only 7% of his team’s targets.
- 1.7per gameHe sees only 1.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBartholomew: 3.3Knox: 3.3
TD pointsof the projectionBartholomew: Our estimateKnox: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekBartholomew: Our estimateKnox: 0.17
Projected team pointsBartholomew: 21.3Knox: 28.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBartholomew: 0.2Knox: 0.5 (best)
Role
Snap shareBartholomew: 17%Knox: 69% (best)
Usage worthptsBartholomew: 2.2Knox: 3.1 (best)
Target shareBartholomew: 5%Knox: 7% (best)
Targets / gameBartholomew: 1.3Knox: 1.7 (best)
Air yards shareBartholomew: 2%Knox: 3% (best)
Vacated targets this weekBartholomew: 1.7 (best)Knox: 0.0
RZ target shareBartholomew: 5%Knox: 12% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBartholomew: 20% (best)Knox: 17%
Catch rateBartholomew: 88% (best)Knox: 80%
SeparationBartholomew: 3.9 ydsKnox: Not tracked
YAC over expectedBartholomew: −0.2Knox: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredBartholomew: Earned by usage 2.2Scored 2.1Knox: Earned by usage 3.1Scored 2.9
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBartholomew: 1 RZ targetKnox: Above
WOPRBartholomew: 0.09Knox: 0.13 (best)
Range
FloorBartholomew: 1.7 (best)Knox: 1.3
CeilingBartholomew: 5.7Knox: 5.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBartholomew: 0%Knox: 34%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Bartholomew: 1 gameKnox: 8%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterBartholomew: 1 gameKnox: 66%
SteadinessBartholomew: 1 gameKnox: Volatile±4.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBartholomew: A+ (best)2026, 6 gmKnox: C2026, 7 gm
Game scriptBartholomew: Expected to trailKnox: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBartholomew: 1.0Knox: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelBartholomew: NeutralKnox: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedBartholomew: 32nd (soft) (best)Knox: 15th (average)
Starting QBBartholomew: Murray (Active)Knox: Allen (Active)
Opp defender outBartholomew: None listedKnox: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceturfBartholomew: DomeKnox: Open
Rest / scheduleBartholomew: NormalKnox: Off a bye
Opp paceBartholomew: 4th (fast) (best)Knox: 17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBartholomew: 1.3 (best)32nd (soft)Knox: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBartholomew: 77% (best)27th (soft)Knox: 76%25th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBartholomew: 4.1 (best)Knox: 2.0
Last 5 avgBartholomew: 2.5Knox: 3.2 (best)
vs seasonBartholomew: +2.1 (Rising) (best)Knox: −1.0 (Cooling)
Yards per route runBartholomew: 2.35 (best)Knox: 0.46
Receiving aDOTBartholomew: 3.3Knox: 4.0
Target share trendBartholomew: SteadyKnox: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBartholomew: TE41 (best)Knox: TE43
Yards linereceivingBartholomew: Our estimateKnox: 7.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.