Quitoriano
TE · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points2.9ptsUsage estimate
Knox
TE · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points3.3pts
Toss-up
Bench
Dawson Knox or Teagan Quitoriano: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Teagan Quitoriano. Swinging for a big week? Dawson Knox.
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Quitoriano's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Knox
Quitoriano has the safer floor (1.4 to 1.3); Knox has more upside (a ceiling of 5.7 to 4.9).
Flips if
Start Dawson Knox instead if you want more of the snaps (69% to 40%).
Risk
Quitoriano has the safer floor (1.4 to 1.3); Knox has more upside (a ceiling of 5.7 to 4.9).
Highlights
QuitorianoToss-upTE · ARI @ DALUsually 5.2−2.3pts this week
Helps him
- OutBullardEdgeHe faces a Cowboys defense without defensive end Jonathan Bullard.
- 1sthighest totalEdgeHe plays in the highest scoring game on the slate.
Hurts him
- −2.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
KnoxFirst outTE · BUF vs BALUsually 2.9+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 7%targetsHe draws only 7% of his team’s targets.
- 1.7per gameHe sees only 1.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionQuitoriano: 2.9Knox: 3.3 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionQuitoriano: Our estimateKnox: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekQuitoriano: Our estimateKnox: 0.17
Projected team pointsQuitoriano: 23.8Knox: 28.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameQuitoriano: 0.7 (best)Knox: 0.5
Role
Snap shareQuitoriano: 40%Knox: 69% (best)
Usage worthptsQuitoriano: 1.8Knox: 3.1 (best)
Target shareQuitoriano: 1%Knox: 7% (best)
Targets / gameQuitoriano: 0.7Knox: 1.7 (best)
Air yards shareQuitoriano: 2%Knox: 3% (best)
Vacated targets this weekQuitoriano: 3.3 (best)Knox: 0.0
RZ target shareQuitoriano: 7%Knox: 12% (best)
Inside 10 target shareQuitoriano: 6%Knox: 17% (best)
Catch rateQuitoriano: 2 targetsKnox: 80%
Usage worth vs scoredQuitoriano: Earned by usage 1.8Scored 5.2Knox: Earned by usage 3.1Scored 2.9
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsQuitoriano: 2 RZ targetsKnox: Above
WOPRQuitoriano: 0.03Knox: 0.13 (best)
Range
FloorQuitoriano: 1.4 (best)Knox: 1.3
CeilingQuitoriano: 4.9Knox: 5.7 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerQuitoriano: 77%Knox: 34%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Quitoriano: 3 gamesKnox: 8%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterQuitoriano: 3 gamesKnox: 66%
SteadinessQuitoriano: 3 gamesKnox: Volatile±4.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmQuitoriano: C+ (best)Knox: C
Game scriptQuitoriano: Expected to trailKnox: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterQuitoriano: 0.6 (best)Knox: 0.9
Defense funnelQuitoriano: NeutralKnox: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedQuitoriano: 15th (average)Knox: 15th (average)
Starting QBQuitoriano: Brissett (Active)Knox: Allen (Active)
Opp defender outQuitoriano: Bullard (DE)Knox: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceturfQuitoriano: Retractable roofKnox: Open
Rest / scheduleQuitoriano: NormalKnox: Off a bye
Opp paceQuitoriano: 9th (fast) (best)Knox: 17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameQuitoriano: 0.1 (best)4th (tough)Knox: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedQuitoriano: 80% (best)30th (soft)Knox: 76%25th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgQuitoriano: 5.2 (best)Knox: 2.0
Last 5 avgQuitoriano: 5.2 (best)Knox: 3.2
vs seasonQuitoriano: Cooling (best)Knox: −1.0 (Cooling)
Yards per route runQuitoriano: 0.47 (best)Knox: 0.46
Receiving aDOTQuitoriano: 2 targetsKnox: 4.0
Target share trendQuitoriano: SteadyKnox: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterQuitoriano: TE48Knox: TE42 (best)
Yards linereceivingQuitoriano: Our estimateKnox: 7.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.