Douglas
WR · NE vs CHI
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points5.3pts
projected 9.1
Egbuka
WR · TB vs CAR
Out · Concussion, FootRuled out
Projected points—
DeMario Douglas or Emeka Egbuka: who should I start in Week 7?
Nuvela’s call
We started DeMario Douglas over Emeka Egbuka.
Highlights
Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ETWhat moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week
—
- Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.27 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.−1.4 pts
- Everything else+0.6 pts
Usually scores 9.9 → projected 9.1−0.8 pts
Also worth knowing
- His last three games run 5.3 points above his season average.
- He sees only 5.0 targets a game.
- He plays only 54% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDouglas: 9.1Egbuka: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionDouglas: 1.6Egbuka: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekDouglas: 0.27Egbuka: Ruled out
Projected team pointsDouglas: 23.8 (best)Egbuka: 20.8
Red zone targetsper gameDouglas: 0.7Egbuka: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareDouglas: 54%Egbuka: 86% (best)
Usage worthptsDouglas: 8.8Egbuka: 14.4 (best)
Target shareDouglas: 17%Egbuka: 26% (best)
Targets / gameDouglas: 5.0Egbuka: 8.2 (best)
Air yards shareDouglas: 19%Egbuka: 35% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDouglas: AboveEgbuka: Above
WOPRDouglas: 0.38Egbuka: 0.65 (best)
RZ target shareDouglas: 13%Egbuka: 27% (best)
Catch rateDouglas: 67% (best)Egbuka: 57%
SeparationDouglas: 3.9 yds (best)Egbuka: 3.2 yds
YAC over expectedDouglas: +0.9 (best)Egbuka: −0.2
Usage worth vs scoredDouglas: Earned by usage 8.8Scored 9.9Egbuka: Earned by usage 14.4Scored 11.8
Vacated targets this weekDouglas: 9.0 (best)Egbuka: 1.0
Inside 10 target shareDouglas: 15%Egbuka: 50% (best)
Range
FloorDouglas: 4.5Egbuka: Ruled out
CeilingDouglas: 16.5Egbuka: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDouglas: 30%Egbuka: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Douglas: 17% (best)Egbuka: 4%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDouglas: 50%Egbuka: 34% (best)
SteadinessDouglas: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 gamesEgbuka: Steady (best)±5.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDouglas: B- (best)2026, 6 gmEgbuka: D+2026, 5 gm
Game scriptDouglas: Expected to trailEgbuka: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDouglas: 1.5Egbuka: 1.4 (best)
Defense funnelDouglas: NeutralEgbuka: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDouglas: 15th (average)Egbuka: 18th (average) (best)
Starting QBDouglas: Maye (Active)Egbuka: Daniels (Active)
Opp defender outDouglas: Edwards (LB)Egbuka: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceDouglas: OpenEgbuka: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleDouglas: Short week (4d)Egbuka: Normal
Opp paceDouglas: 1st (fast) (best)Egbuka: 2nd (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDouglas: 3.5 (best)24th (soft)Egbuka: 2.45th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedDouglas: 60%13th (average)Egbuka: 60%12th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgDouglas: 15.2 (best)Egbuka: 12.8
Last 5 avgDouglas: 10.5Egbuka: 12.0 (best)
vs seasonDouglas: +5.3 (Rising) (best)Egbuka: +0.9 (Rising)
Yards per route runDouglas: 1.74 (best)Egbuka: 1.32
Receiving aDOTDouglas: 10.9Egbuka: 9.7
Target share trendDouglas: RisingEgbuka: Rising
Crowd
Started in leaguesDouglas: 68%Egbuka: 71% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDouglas: WR40Egbuka: Ruled out
Yards linereceivingDouglas: 38.5Egbuka: Ruled out
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.