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Week7 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
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Downs

WR · IND vs MIN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.9pts

Douglas

WR · NE vs CHI

FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE

Final points5.3pts

projected 9.1

Josh Downs or DeMario Douglas: who should I start in Week 7?

DeMario Douglas already played (5.3 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare Josh Downs with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.23 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.+1.4 pts
    • Helps him: His lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.+0.5 pts

    Usually scores 8.9 → projected 10.9+1.9 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.5 points.
    • EdgeMIN is the toughest defense for receivers.

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    —

    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.27 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.−1.4 pts
    • Everything else+0.6 pts

    Usually scores 9.9 → projected 9.1−0.8 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • His last three games run 5.3 points above his season average.
    • He sees only 5.0 targets a game.
    • He plays only 54% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDowns: 10.9 (best)Douglas: 9.1
TD pointsof the projectionDowns: 1.4Douglas: 1.6 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekDowns: 0.23Douglas: 0.27 (best)
Projected team pointsDowns: 17.5Douglas: 23.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameDowns: 0.8 (best)Douglas: 0.7
Role
Snap shareDowns: 81% (best)Douglas: 54%
Usage worthptsDowns: 12.3 (best)Douglas: 8.8
Target shareDowns: 21% (best)Douglas: 17%
Targets / gameDowns: 7.0 (best)Douglas: 5.0
Air yards shareDowns: 28% (best)Douglas: 19%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDowns: BelowDouglas: Above
WOPRDowns: 0.50 (best)Douglas: 0.38
RZ target shareDowns: 24% (best)Douglas: 13%
Catch rateDowns: 57%Douglas: 67% (best)
SeparationDowns: 2.4 ydsDouglas: 3.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedDowns: +0.7Douglas: +0.9 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredDowns: Earned by usage 12.3Scored 8.9Douglas: Earned by usage 8.8Scored 9.9
Vacated targets this weekDowns: 10.7 (best)Douglas: 9.0
Inside 10 target shareDowns: 0%Douglas: 15% (best)
Range
FloorDowns: 6.9 (best)Douglas: 4.5
CeilingDowns: 17.1 (best)Douglas: 16.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDowns: 0%Douglas: 30%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Downs: 0%Douglas: 17% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDowns: 33% (best)Douglas: 50%
SteadinessDowns: Very steady (best)±3.8 pts · 6 gamesDouglas: Volatile±8.9 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDowns: F2026, 5 gmDouglas: B- (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptDowns: Expected to trailDouglas: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDowns: 2.0Douglas: 1.5 (best)
Defense funnelDowns: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDowns: 3rd (tough)Douglas: 15th (average) (best)
Starting QBDowns: Jones (Active)Douglas: Maye (Active)
Opp defender outDowns: None listedDouglas: Edwards (LB)
Roof / surfaceDowns: DometurfDouglas: Open
Rest / scheduleDowns: NormalDouglas: Short week (4d)
Opp paceDowns: 23rd (slow)Douglas: 1st (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDowns: 2.68th (tough)Douglas: 3.5 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedDowns: 55%3rd (tough)Douglas: 60% (best)13th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgDowns: 7.0Douglas: 15.2 (best)
Last 5 avgDowns: 9.6Douglas: 10.5 (best)
vs seasonDowns: −1.9 (Cooling)Douglas: +5.3 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runDowns: 1.47Douglas: 1.74 (best)
Receiving aDOTDowns: 10.7Douglas: 10.9
Target share trendDowns: SteadyDouglas: Rising
Crowd
Started in leaguesDowns: 42%Douglas: 68% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDowns: WR30 (best)Douglas: WR40
Yards linereceivingDowns: 49.0 (best)Douglas: 38.5

Deciding on someone else?

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