Lemon
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
10.7pts
market
Boston
WR · CLE vs PIT
Final pts
12.9pts
10.2 proj · +2.7
Denzel Boston or Makai Lemon: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Makai Lemon over Denzel Boston by 0.5. Makai Lemon leads at 10.7. Denzel Boston is the first one out, 0.4 short.
Crowd: 56% of managers started Boston.
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.0 targets/g
Pros
- Every-down role91% of snaps
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR
Cons
- Thin volume5.0 targets/g
- Low team total18.0 team total
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Lemon 3.4, Boston 14.2.
Why Makai Lemon
Start Makai Lemon — projects 10.7, an even matchup vs LA.
Makai Lemon projects 10.7 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: start Makai Lemon this week.
Working for Lemon: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Lemon: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.0 targets/g).
Where Lemon leads the head-to-head: Projection (10.7 vs 10.2); Implied team total (19.5 vs 18.0); Boom rate (33% vs 0%); Rest / schedule (Short week (5d) vs Short week (4d)).
Why Denzel Boston
Sit Denzel Boston — projects 10.2, a favorable matchup vs PIT.
Denzel Boston projects 10.2 points. The matchup grades as favorable against PIT. Usage: targets / game at 5.0. Net: bench Denzel Boston this week.
Working for Boston: Every-down role (91% of snaps), Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR).
Working against Boston: Thin volume (5.0 targets/g), Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Boston leads the head-to-head: Target share (18% vs 12%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs B); Last 3 avg (14.2 vs 3.4); Last 5 avg (14.2 vs 3.4); Consistency (64% vs 49%); Targets / game (5.0 vs 3.0); Snap share (91% vs 66%); Red zone targets (4 vs 0).
Recent form
Makai Lemon's last 3 games: PPR points 1.9, 2.5, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Denzel Boston's last 3 games: PPR points 8.1, 13.9, 20.5 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Boston's worst of these 3 (8.1) beats Lemon's best (5.9) — the run argues the other way.
Lemon has already beaten Boston's 10.2 projection in 0 of his 3; Boston has beaten Lemon's 10.7 in 2 of his 3.
Matchup
Makai Lemon (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
Denzel Boston (CLE) played PIT (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +2.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Makai Lemon comparisons
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Ryan Flournoy10.7 · 10.7
- Kalif Raymond or Makai Lemon10.5 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Wan'Dale Robinson10.7 · 10.8
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)