Wicks
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
13.8pts
market
Vele
WR · NO vs ATL
Proj pts
13.2pts
market
Devaughn Vele or Dontayvion Wicks: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Dontayvion Wicks over Devaughn Vele by 0.6. Dontayvion Wicks leads at 13.8. Devaughn Vele is the first one out, 0.5 short.
Crowd: 35% of managers started Wicks, 55% started Vele.
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share13% target share
- Thin volume3.5 targets/g
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR
- Spike upside21.0 ceiling
Cons
- Low target share13% target share
- Thin volume4.3 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Wicks 25%, Vele 38%.
Latest game on the card: Wicks 5.2 (PPR points).
Why Dontayvion Wicks
Start Dontayvion Wicks — projects 13.8, an even matchup vs LA, with a rising role.
Dontayvion Wicks projects 13.8 points on a 3.4–15.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.5. Net: start Dontayvion Wicks this week.
Working against Wicks: Low target share (13% target share), Thin volume (3.5 targets/g).
Where Wicks leads the head-to-head: Projection (13.8 vs 13.2); vs season (+0.3 vs -0.9); Bust rate (25% vs 38%).
Why Devaughn Vele
Sit Devaughn Vele — projects 13.2, a favorable matchup vs ATL.
Devaughn Vele projects 13.2 points on a 9.2–21.0 range. The matchup grades as favorable against ATL. Usage: targets / game at 4.3. Net: bench Devaughn Vele this week.
Working for Vele: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR), Spike upside (21.0 ceiling).
Working against Vele: Low target share (13% target share), Thin volume (4.3 targets/g).
Where Vele leads the head-to-head: Floor (9.2 vs 3.4); Ceiling (21.0 vs 15.2); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs B); Implied team total (25.0 vs 19.5); Last 3 avg (12.7 vs 11.0); Last 5 avg (12.7 vs 8.7); Consistency (16% vs 0%); Boom rate (12% vs 8%); Targets / game (4.3 vs 3.5); Snap share (62% vs 47%); Red zone targets (5 vs 4).
Recent form
Dontayvion Wicks's last 4 games: PPR points 1.7, 15.3, 12.4, 5.2 (oldest to newest).
Devaughn Vele's last 3 games: PPR points 6.9, 11.4, 19.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Wicks has already beaten Vele's 13.2 projection in 1 of his 4; Vele has beaten Wicks's 13.8 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Dontayvion Wicks (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
Devaughn Vele (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 25.0, spread -2.5.
What flips it
Wicks's edge is 0.6 points (13.8 to 13.2). Vele's ceiling (21) clears Wicks's projection, so a big game from Vele flips it. Wicks's floor (3.4) sits under Vele's projection, so a quiet game from Wicks flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Devaughn Vele comparisons
- Devaughn Vele or Stefon Diggs13.2 · 13.5
- Devaughn Vele or Jameson Williams13.2 · 13.6
- Devaughn Vele or DK Metcalf13.2 · 12.8
- Carnell Tate or Devaughn Vele12.8 · 13.2
More Dontayvion Wicks comparisons
- Dontayvion Wicks or Jameson Williams13.8 · 13.6
- Dontayvion Wicks or Luther Burden III13.8 · 14.0
- Dontayvion Wicks or Stefon Diggs13.8 · 13.5
- Dontayvion Wicks or Terry McLaurin13.8 · 14.4
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)