McLaurin
WR · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
14.4pts
market
Wicks
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
13.8pts
market
Dontayvion Wicks or Terry McLaurin: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Terry McLaurin over Dontayvion Wicks by 0.6. Terry McLaurin leads at 14.4. Dontayvion Wicks is the first one out, 0.6 short.
Crowd: 83% of managers started McLaurin, 35% started Wicks.
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs WR
Cons
- Low target share13% target share
- Thin volume3.5 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: McLaurin 10%, Wicks 25%.
Latest game on the card: McLaurin 19.7, Wicks 5.2 (PPR points).
Why Terry McLaurin
Start Terry McLaurin — projects 14.4, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Terry McLaurin projects 14.4 points on a 8.2–18.4 range. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 6.0. Net: start Terry McLaurin this week.
Working for McLaurin: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs WR).
Where McLaurin leads the head-to-head: Projection (14.4 vs 13.8); Floor (8.2 vs 3.4); Ceiling (18.4 vs 15.2); Target share (23% vs 13%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs B); Implied team total (22.5 vs 19.5); Last 5 avg (10.2 vs 8.7); Consistency (59% vs 0%); Boom rate (10% vs 8%); Bust rate (10% vs 25%); Targets / game (6.0 vs 3.5); Snap share (70% vs 47%); Red zone targets (8 vs 4).
Why Dontayvion Wicks
Sit Dontayvion Wicks — projects 13.8, an even matchup vs LA, with a rising role.
Dontayvion Wicks projects 13.8 points on a 3.4–15.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.5. Net: bench Dontayvion Wicks this week.
Working against Wicks: Low target share (13% target share), Thin volume (3.5 targets/g).
Where Wicks leads the head-to-head: Last 3 avg (11.0 vs 10.0); vs season (+0.3 vs -1.8).
Recent form
Terry McLaurin's last 5 games: PPR points 11.3, 9.7, 3.4, 7, 19.7 (oldest to newest).
Dontayvion Wicks's last 4 games: PPR points 1.7, 15.3, 12.4, 5.2 (oldest to newest).
McLaurin has already beaten Wicks's 13.8 projection in 1 of his 5; Wicks has beaten McLaurin's 14.4 in 1 of his 4.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Terry McLaurin (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
Dontayvion Wicks (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
What flips it
McLaurin's edge is 0.6 points (14.4 to 13.8). Wicks's ceiling (15.2) clears McLaurin's projection, so a big game from Wicks flips it. McLaurin's floor (8.2) sits under Wicks's projection, so a quiet game from McLaurin flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Dontayvion Wicks comparisons
- Dontayvion Wicks or Jameson Williams13.8 · 13.6
- Dontayvion Wicks or Luther Burden III13.8 · 14.0
- Dontayvion Wicks or Stefon Diggs13.8 · 13.5
- Devaughn Vele or Dontayvion Wicks13.2 · 13.8
More Terry McLaurin comparisons
- Jalen Coker or Terry McLaurin14.4 · 14.4
- Luther Burden III or Terry McLaurin14.0 · 14.4
- Malik Nabers or Terry McLaurin15.1 · 14.4
- Jameson Williams or Terry McLaurin13.6 · 14.4
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)