Helm
TE · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points5.8pts
Higgins
TE · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points5.2pts
Toss-up
Bench
Elijah Higgins or Gunnar Helm: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Gunnar Helm gets the nod over Elijah Higgins.
- Ahead by
- +0.6pts
- over Higgins
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Higgins
The case for Higgins is an offense expected to score more (23.8 points to 17.0) and fewer dud weeks (43% of his games to 71%).
Flips if
Start Elijah Higgins instead if you want an offense expected to score more (23.8 points to 17.0).
Risk
The risk: Helm has been held under 6 points in 5 straight games.
Highlights
HelmToss-upTE · TEN @ CINUsually 3.2+2.6pts this week
Helps him
- +1.7pts2 linesReceiving yards 21.5 (usual 12.0) and catches 2.5 (usual 1.7) both sit above his usual.
- +1.1ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.19 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- CINvs TEsEdgeCIN is the 4th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- 5games in a rowHe has been held under 6 points in 5 straight games.
HigginsFirst outTE · ARI @ DALUsually 4.9+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, above his usual 2.0.
Hurts him
- 43%dud weeks43% of his games have been dud weeks.
- +7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail by 7.0.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionHelm: 5.8 (best)Higgins: 5.2
TD pointsof the projectionHelm: 1.1 (best)Higgins: 1.0
Expected TDsthis weekHelm: 0.19 (best)Higgins: 0.16
Projected team pointsHelm: 17.0Higgins: 23.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameHelm: 0.6 (best)Higgins: 0.3
Role
Snap shareHelm: 78% (best)Higgins: 39%
Usage worthptsHelm: 4.1 (best)Higgins: 3.2
Target shareHelm: 9% (best)Higgins: 5%
Targets / gameHelm: 2.4 (best)Higgins: 2.0
Air yards shareHelm: 6% (best)Higgins: 2%
Vacated targets this weekHelm: 7.3 (best)Higgins: 3.3
RZ target shareHelm: 12% (best)Higgins: 4%
Inside 10 target shareHelm: 13% (best)Higgins: 6%
Catch rateHelm: 71%Higgins: 100% (best)
SeparationHelm: 4.5 ydsHiggins: Not tracked
YAC over expectedHelm: −0.4Higgins: Not tracked
Usage worth vs scoredHelm: Earned by usage 4.1Scored 3.2Higgins: Earned by usage 3.2Scored 4.9
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsHelm: BelowHiggins: 2 RZ targets
WOPRHelm: 0.17 (best)Higgins: 0.08
Range
FloorHelm: 3.8 (best)Higgins: 3.3
CeilingHelm: 9.9 (best)Higgins: 9.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerHelm: 0%Higgins: 18%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Helm: 0%Higgins: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterHelm: 71%Higgins: 43% (best)
SteadinessHelm: Up & down±2.5 pts · 7 gamesHiggins: Up & down (best)±3.8 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionHelm: A- (best)2026, 6 gmHiggins: C+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptHelm: Expected to trailHiggins: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterHelm: 1.5Higgins: 0.6 (best)
Defense funnelHelm: NeutralHiggins: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedHelm: 26th (soft) (best)Higgins: 15th (average)
Starting QBHelm: Ward (Active)Higgins: Brissett (Active)
Opp defender outHelm: None listedHiggins: Winters (LB)
Roof / surfaceturfHelm: OpenHiggins: Retractable roof
Rest / scheduleHelm: NormalHiggins: Normal
Opp paceHelm: 20th (average)Higgins: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameHelm: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Higgins: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedHelm: 76%24th (soft)Higgins: 80% (best)30th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgHelm: 1.8Higgins: 6.4 (best)
Last 5 avgHelm: 2.5Higgins: 6.8 (best)
vs seasonHelm: −1.4 (Cooling)Higgins: +1.5 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runHelm: 0.64Higgins: 2.14 (best)
Receiving aDOTHelm: 5.1Higgins: 3.0
Target share trendHelm: SteadyHiggins: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterHelm: TE29 (best)Higgins: TE33
Yards linereceivingHelm: 21.5 (best)Higgins: 17.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.