Davis
RB · NYJ vs CHI
Proj pts
9.8pts
market
Johnson
RB · KC vs LV
Proj pts
8.5pts
market
Emmett Johnson or Isaiah Davis: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Isaiah Davis. Bench Emmett Johnson. Isaiah Davis leads at 9.8. Emmett Johnson is the first one out, 1.3 short.
Availability & news
Emmett Johnson
Johnson carried the ball six times for 17 yards and returned one kickoff for 31 yards in Kansas City's 24-10 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside30% boom weeks
Cons
- Committee back8% of touches
- Negative game scriptTrailing
Pros
- Positive game scriptFavored
- Big-play upside50% boom weeks
Cons
- Committee back13% of touches
- Boom-or-bust50% bust weeks
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone carries: Davis 9, Johnson 1.
Johnson: “Johnson carried the ball six times for 17 yards and returned one kickoff for 31 yards in Kansas City's 24-10 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Davis 0 (PPR points).
Why Isaiah Davis
Start Isaiah Davis — projects 9.8, an even matchup vs CHI, but the role is cooling.
Isaiah Davis projects 9.8 points on a 1.5–11.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 2.7. Net: start Isaiah Davis this week.
Working for Davis: Big-play upside (30% boom weeks).
Working against Davis: Committee back (8% of touches), Negative game script (Trailing).
Where Davis leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.8 vs 8.5); Last 5 avg (5.5 vs 5.3); vs season (+1.7 vs +0.0); Bust rate (40% vs 50%); Target share (6% vs 4%); Yards per carry (5.5 vs 3.5); Snap share (28% vs 27%); Red zone carries (9 vs 1).
Why Emmett Johnson
Sit Emmett Johnson — projects 8.5, an even matchup vs LV.
Emmett Johnson projects 8.5 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LV. Usage: carries / game at 5.3. Net: bench Emmett Johnson this week.
Working for Johnson: Positive game script (Favored), Big-play upside (50% boom weeks).
Working against Johnson: Committee back (13% of touches), Boom-or-bust (50% bust weeks).
Where Johnson leads the head-to-head: Touch share (13% vs 8%); Opportunity score (5.3 vs 4.3); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs C); Implied team total (26.0 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (5.3 vs 1.3); Consistency (32% vs 14%); Boom rate (50% vs 30%); Carries / game (5.3 vs 2.7); Touches / game (6.7 vs 4.0).
Recent form
Isaiah Davis's last 5 games: PPR points 13.5, 10, 4, 0, 0 (oldest to newest).
Emmett Johnson's last 3 games: PPR points 1.7, 5.5, 8.8 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Davis has already beaten Johnson's 8.5 projection in 2 of his 5; Johnson has beaten Davis's 9.8 in 0 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Isaiah Davis (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
Emmett Johnson (KC) faces LV, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -4.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Chuba Hubbard or James Cook21.7 · 21.7
- Kenny Gainwell or Rico Dowdle9.9 · 9.9
- Alvin Kamara or David Montgomery17.3 · 17.3
- Aaron Jones or Jeremiyah Love22.7 · 22.6
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.3 · 17.3
- Bhayshul Tuten or Bucky Irving16.8 · 16.8
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)