Conner
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Thomas
TE · LV @ NYJ
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · shoulder
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Ethan Conner or Ian Thomas: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Ethan Conner gets the nod over Ian Thomas.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Thomas
- Confidence
- Lower
- Ethan Conner has under three games this season and no sample from last season
Case for Thomas
The case for Thomas is a defense that allows more catches (72% of targets to 68%).
Flips if
Start Ian Thomas instead if you want a defense that allows more catches (72% of targets to 68%).
Risk
Ian Thomas was limited in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 7:00 PM ET
Highlights
ConnerToss-upTE · JAX vs INDProjected1.4pts
Helps him
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 0.7floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.7 points.
ThomasFirst outTE · LV @ NYJUsually 2.4−1.1pts this week
Helps him
- OutBaileyEdgeHe faces a Jets defense without linebacker David Bailey.
Hurts him
- −1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- −0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionConner: 1.4Thomas: 1.4
Projected team pointsConner: 28.3 (best)Thomas: 22.0
Red zone targetsper gameConner: No games yetThomas: 0.0
Role
Snap shareConner: No games yetThomas: 33%
Usage worthptsConner: No games yetThomas: 1.1
Target shareConner: No games yetThomas: 2%
Targets / gameConner: No games yetThomas: 0.7
Air yards shareConner: No games yetThomas: 1%
Vacated targets this weekConner: 0.0Thomas: 3.0 (best)
RZ target shareConner: No games yetThomas: 0%
Inside 10 target shareConner: No games yetThomas: 0%
Catch rateConner: No games yetThomas: 100%
Usage worth vs scoredConner: No games yetThomas: Earned by usage 1.1Scored 2.4
WOPRConner: No games yetThomas: 0.03
Range
FloorConner: 0.7Thomas: 0.7
CeilingConner: 2.4 (best)Thomas: 2.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerConner: No games yetThomas: 35%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Conner: No games yetThomas: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterConner: No games yetThomas: 80%
SteadinessConner: No games yetThomas: Volatile±4.4 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmConner: B- (best)Thomas: C
Game scriptConner: Expected to lead (best)Thomas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterConner: 0.4 (best)Thomas: 1.1
Defense funnelConner: NeutralThomas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedConner: 11th (average) (best)Thomas: 5th (tough)
Starting QBConner: Lawrence (Active)Thomas: Cousins (Active)
Opp defender outConner: Walley (CB)Thomas: Bailey (LB)
Roof / surfaceConner: OpengrassThomas: Openturf
Rest / scheduleConner: Off a byeThomas: Normal
Opp paceConner: 7th (fast) (best)Thomas: 28th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameConner: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Thomas: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedConner: 68%7th (tough)Thomas: 72% (best)14th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgConner: No games yetThomas: 1.2
Last 5 avgConner: No games yetThomas: 3.0
vs seasonConner: No games yetThomas: −1.2 (Cooling)
Yards per route runConner: No games yetThomas: 1.67
Receiving aDOTConner: No games yetThomas: 5.0
Target share trendConner: No games yetThomas: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterConner: TE62 (best)Thomas: TE64
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.