Conner
TE · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Durham
TE · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.3ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Ethan Conner or Payne Durham: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Ethan Conner gets the nod over Payne Durham.
- Ahead by
- +0.1pts
- over Durham
- Confidence
- Lower
- Ethan Conner has under three games this season and no sample from last season
Case for Durham
The case for Durham is a softer pass defense and a defense that allows more catches (77% of targets to 68%).
Flips if
Start Payne Durham instead if you want a softer pass defense.
Risk
Weather in Payne Durham's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
ConnerToss-upTE · JAX vs INDProjected1.4pts
Helps him
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 0.7floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.7 points.
DurhamFirst outTE · TB vs ATLUsually 0.2+1.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
Hurts him
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.3per gameHe sees only 0.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionConner: 1.4 (best)Durham: 1.3
Projected team pointsConner: 28.3 (best)Durham: 23.0
Red zone targetsper gameConner: No games yetDurham: 0.0
Role
Snap shareConner: No games yetDurham: 28%
Usage worthptsConner: No games yetDurham: 0.4
Target shareConner: No games yetDurham: 1%
Targets / gameConner: No games yetDurham: 0.3
Air yards shareConner: No games yetDurham: 0.4%
Vacated targets this weekConner: 0.0Durham: 9.2 (best)
RZ target shareConner: No games yetDurham: 0%
Inside 10 target shareConner: No games yetDurham: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredConner: No games yetDurham: Earned by usage 0.4Scored 0.2
WOPRConner: No games yetDurham: 0.02
Range
FloorConner: 0.7Durham: 0.7
CeilingConner: 2.4 (best)Durham: 2.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerConner: No games yetDurham: 0%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Conner: No games yetDurham: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterConner: No games yetDurham: 100%
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmConner: B- (best)Durham: C+
Game scriptConner: Expected to lead (best)Durham: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterConner: 0.4 (best)Durham: 1.3
Defense funnelConner: NeutralDurham: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedConner: 11th (average)Durham: 29th (soft) (best)
Starting QBConner: Lawrence (Active)Durham: Mayfield (Active)
Opp defender outConner: Walley (CB)Durham: None listed
WeatherConner: No concernDurham: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassConner: OpenDurham: Open
Rest / scheduleConner: Off a byeDurham: Normal
Opp paceConner: 7th (fast) (best)Durham: 21st (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameConner: 0.7 (best)23rd (soft)Durham: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedConner: 68%7th (tough)Durham: 77% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgConner: No games yetDurham: 0.5
Last 5 avgConner: No games yetDurham: 0.3
vs seasonConner: No games yetDurham: +0.3 (Rising)
Yards per route runConner: No games yetDurham: 0.36
Target share trendConner: No games yetDurham: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterConner: TE62 (best)Durham: TE65
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.