New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Lean

Wilson

WR · NYJ vs LV

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points14.5pts

First out

Rice

WR · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hamstring

Projected points11.8pts

if he plays · 80% to play

Lean

Bench

Garrett Wilson or Rashee Rice: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Garrett Wilson over Rashee Rice.

Ahead by
+5.0pts
over Rice
Confidence
Moderate
Rashee Rice may not play (about 80% to play)
Started
92%
of leagues

Flips if

An injury tag on Garrett Wilson or a bigger role for Rashee Rice.

Risk

Rashee Rice was limited in practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Rashee Rice missed his last 2 games (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
WilsonLeanWR · NYJ vs LVUsually 14.2+0.3pts this week

Helps him

  1. 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
  2. LVvs WRsEdgeLV is the 10th softest defense for receivers.
  3. 24.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 24.0 points.

Hurts him

  1. 4.6last weekHe caught 2 for 26 yards last week (4.6 points).
RiceFirst outWR · KC @ DENUsually 12.7−0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
  2. 15.8last weekHe caught 7 for 88 yards in Week 3 (15.8 points).

Hurts him

  1. −1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 63.3.
  2. 4.2per gameHe sees only 4.2 targets a game.
  3. toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilson: 14.5 (best)Rice: 11.8
TD pointsof the projectionWilson: 2.6 (best)Rice: 2.0
Expected TDsthis weekWilson: 0.43 (best)Rice: 0.34
Projected team pointsWilson: 23.5 (best)Rice: 20.8
Red zone targetsper gameWilson: 0.6Rice: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilson: 90% (best)Rice: 62%
Usage worthptsWilson: 11.7 (best)Rice: 7.7
Target shareWilson: 26% (best)Rice: 15%
Targets / gameWilson: 7.3 (best)Rice: 4.3
Air yards shareWilson: 36% (best)Rice: 15%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilson: AboveRice: In line
WOPRWilson: 0.64 (best)Rice: 0.35
RZ target shareWilson: 13%Rice: 19% (best)
Catch rateWilson: 73%Rice: 76% (best)
SeparationWilson: 2.5 ydsRice: 4.2 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWilson: +0.6Rice: +1.7 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWilson: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 14.2Rice: Earned by usage 7.7Scored 9.5
Vacated targets this weekWilson: 0.5Rice: 3.8 (best)
Inside 10 target shareWilson: 25% (best)Rice: 0%
Range
FloorWilson: 7.7 (best)Rice: 7.6
CeilingWilson: 24.0 (best)Rice: 18.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilson: 18%Rice: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Wilson: 34% (best)Rice: 29%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilson: 29%Rice: 0% (best)
SteadinessWilson: Steady±8.5 ptsRice: Very steady (best)±7.3 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilson: B (best)Rice: D
Game scriptWilson: Expected to lead (best)Rice: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilson: 1.7Rice: 1.4 (best)
Defense funnelWilson: NeutralRice: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilson: 22nd (soft) (best)Rice: 17th (average)
Starting QBWilson: Smith (Active)Rice: Mahomes (Active)
Opp defender outWilson: None listedRice: Elliss (LB)
Roof / surfaceWilson: OpenturfRice: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilson: NormalRice: Normal
Opp paceWilson: 9th (fast) (best)Rice: 30th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilson: 4.7 (best)30th (soft)Rice: 3.319th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedWilson: 57% (best)4th (tough)Rice: 54%2nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWilson: 12.1 (best)Rice: 9.4
Last 5 avgWilson: 13.8 (best)Rice: 9.5
vs seasonWilson: −2.1 (Cooling)Rice: −0.1 (best)
Yards per route runWilson: 2.23Rice: 2.47 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilson: 9.6Rice: 7.4
Target share trendWilson: CoolingRice: Left Week 4 hurt
Games since injuryWilson: None recentlyRice: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilson: 93% (best)Rice: 47%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilson: WR14 (best)Rice: WR22
Yards linereceivingWilson: 63.5 (best)Rice: 51.5

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