Chase
WR · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points19.2pts
Pickens
WR · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Shoulder
Projected points14.9pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Lean
Bench
George Pickens or Ja'Marr Chase: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Ja'Marr Chase over George Pickens.
- Ahead by
- +4.3pts
- over Pickens if he plays
- Confidence
- Moderate
- George Pickens may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Ja'Marr Chase or a bigger role for George Pickens.
Risk
George Pickens was limited in practice (shoulder): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
ChaseLeanWR · CIN vs TENUsually 18.3+0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 81.0 receiving yards, above his usual 64.8.
- +0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, above his usual 5.8.
- TENvs WRsEdgeTEN is the 3rd softest defense for receivers.
- 15.0floorA quiet week still projects to about 15.0 points.
Hurts him
- −1.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.76 touchdowns, below his usual 1.00.
PickensFirst outWR · DAL vs ARIUsually 13.9+1.0pts this week
Helps him
- +2.1ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.64 touchdowns, above his usual 0.29.
- +5.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 5.1 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.3.
- softestper targetEdgeARI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (2.00 pts, softest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionChase: 19.2 (best)Pickens: 14.9
TD pointsof the projectionChase: 4.6 (best)Pickens: 3.8
Expected TDsthis weekChase: 0.76 (best)Pickens: 0.64
Projected team pointsChase: 29.5Pickens: 30.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameChase: 1.3 (best)Pickens: 1.0
Role
Snap shareChase: 80%Pickens: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsChase: 13.0Pickens: 14.1 (best)
Target shareChase: 23% (best)Pickens: 22%
Targets / gameChase: 7.5Pickens: 8.3 (best)
Air yards shareChase: 27%Pickens: 31% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsChase: AbovePickens: Above
WOPRChase: 0.56 (best)Pickens: 0.54
RZ target shareChase: 26% (best)Pickens: 17%
Catch rateChase: 71% (best)Pickens: 64%
SeparationChase: 2.7 yds (best)Pickens: 2.5 yds
YAC over expectedChase: +1.6 (best)Pickens: −0.2
Usage worth vs scoredChase: Earned by usage 13.0Scored 16.2Pickens: Earned by usage 14.1Scored 13.9
Vacated targets this weekChase: 6.8 (best)Pickens: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareChase: 24%Pickens: 27% (best)
Range
FloorChase: 15.0 (best)Pickens: 9.3
CeilingChase: 27.4 (best)Pickens: 26.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerChase: 31%Pickens: 12%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Chase: 46% (best)Pickens: 21%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterChase: 15% (best)Pickens: 17%
SteadinessChase: Very steady (best)±8.6 ptsPickens: Steady±8.3 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmChase: A (best)Pickens: B-
Game scriptChase: Expected to lead (best)Pickens: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterChase: 1.0 (best)Pickens: 1.1
Defense funnelChase: NeutralPickens: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedChase: 23rd (soft) (best)Pickens: 21st (average)
Starting QBChase: Burrow (Active)Pickens: Prescott (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfChase: OpenPickens: Retractable roof
Rest / scheduleChase: NormalPickens: Normal
Opp paceChase: 32nd (slow)Pickens: 2nd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameChase: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Pickens: 3.115th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedChase: 73% (best)32nd (soft)Pickens: 60%11th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgChase: 14.2Pickens: 19.0 (best)
Last 5 avgChase: 18.8 (best)Pickens: 16.3
vs seasonChase: −2.0 (Cooling)Pickens: +5.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runChase: 2.08Pickens: 2.15 (best)
Receiving aDOTChase: 9.3Pickens: 11.1
Target share trendChase: Left Week 4 hurtPickens: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesChase: 99% (best)Pickens: 95%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterChase: WR4 (best)Pickens: WR12
Yards linereceivingChase: 81.0 (best)Pickens: 65.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.