Chase
WR · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points19.2pts
Flowers
WR · BAL @ BUF
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points18.1pts
Lean
Bench
Ja'Marr Chase or Zay Flowers: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Ja'Marr Chase over Zay Flowers.
- Ahead by
- +1.1pts
- over Flowers
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Zay Flowers instead if you want more of the targets (31% to 23%).
Risk
The risk: Flowers has scored 10+ points in 6 straight games.
Highlights
ChaseLeanWR · CIN vs TENUsually 18.3+0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 81.0 receiving yards, above his usual 64.8.
- +0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, above his usual 5.8.
- 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- −1.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.76 touchdowns, below his usual 1.00.
FlowersFirst outWR · BAL @ BUFUsually 20.2−2.1pts this week
Helps him
- 31%targetsHe draws 31% of his team’s targets.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 82.5 receiving yards, below his usual 93.5.
- −1.0ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, below his usual 7.5.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionChase: 19.2 (best)Flowers: 18.1
TD pointsof the projectionChase: 4.6 (best)Flowers: 3.0
Expected TDsthis weekChase: 0.76 (best)Flowers: 0.50
Projected team pointsChase: 29.5 (best)Flowers: 25.8
Red zone targetsper gameChase: 1.3 (best)Flowers: 1.2
Role
Snap shareChase: 80% (best)Flowers: 65%
Usage worthptsChase: 13.0Flowers: 15.1 (best)
Target shareChase: 23%Flowers: 31% (best)
Targets / gameChase: 7.5Flowers: 8.8 (best)
Air yards shareChase: 27%Flowers: 33% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsChase: AboveFlowers: Above
WOPRChase: 0.56Flowers: 0.69 (best)
RZ target shareChase: 26%Flowers: 27% (best)
Catch rateChase: 71%Flowers: 75% (best)
SeparationChase: 2.7 ydsFlowers: 3.1 yds (best)
YAC over expectedChase: +1.6Flowers: +2.0 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredChase: Earned by usage 13.0Scored 16.2Flowers: Earned by usage 15.1Scored 20.4
Vacated targets this weekChase: 6.8 (best)Flowers: 0.7
Inside 10 target shareChase: 24% (best)Flowers: 8%
Range
FloorChase: 15.0 (best)Flowers: 11.4
CeilingChase: 27.4 (best)Flowers: 27.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerChase: 31%Flowers: 15%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Chase: 46%Flowers: 50% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterChase: 15%Flowers: 0% (best)
SteadinessChase: Very steady±8.6 ptsFlowers: Very steady (best)±6.8 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionChase: A2026, 7 gmFlowers: A+ (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptChase: Expected to lead (best)Flowers: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterChase: 1.0Flowers: 1.0
Defense funnelChase: NeutralFlowers: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedChase: 23rd (soft)Flowers: 31st (soft) (best)
Starting QBChase: Burrow (Active)Flowers: Huntley (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfChase: OpenFlowers: Open
Rest / scheduleChase: NormalFlowers: Normal
Opp paceChase: 32nd (slow)Flowers: 24th (slow) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameChase: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Flowers: 3.217th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedChase: 73% (best)32nd (soft)Flowers: 64%21st (average)
Form
Last 3 avgChase: 14.2Flowers: 18.3 (best)
Last 5 avgChase: 18.8Flowers: 19.2 (best)
vs seasonChase: −2.0 (Cooling)Flowers: −2.0 (Cooling)
Yards per route runChase: 2.08Flowers: 4.08 (best)
Receiving aDOTChase: 9.3Flowers: 8.2
Target share trendChase: Left Week 4 hurtFlowers: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesChase: 99%Flowers: 99%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterChase: WR4 (best)Flowers: WR5
Yards linereceivingChase: 81.0Flowers: 82.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.