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Week7 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
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Pickens

WR · DAL vs PHI

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ETLatest report: Limited · shoulder

Projected points13.8pts

Burden

WR · CHI vs NE

FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE

Final points23.7pts

projected 13.2

George Pickens or Luther Burden III: who should I start in Week 7?

Luther Burden III already played (23.7 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare George Pickens with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 9:37 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.47 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.+1.8 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.5.−1.0 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 64.5 receiving yards, below his usual 71.3.−0.7 pts

    Usually scores 13.6 → projected 13.8+0.2 pts

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.41 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.+1.5 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.2.−0.7 pts

    Usually scores 12.2 → projected 13.2+1.0 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeHis team was expected to score 26.8 points, a high scoring spot.
    • He plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionPickens: 13.8 (best)Burden: 13.2
TD pointsof the projectionPickens: 2.8 (best)Burden: 2.5
Expected TDsthis weekPickens: 0.47 (best)Burden: 0.41
Projected team pointsPickens: 24.3Burden: 26.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gamePickens: 0.0Burden: 0.2 (best)
Red zone carriesper gamePickens: 0.0Burden: 0.3 (best)
Red zone targetsper gamePickens: 1.0Burden: 1.5 (best)
Role
Snap sharePickens: 85% (best)Burden: 61%
Usage worthptsPickens: 14.6 (best)Burden: 13.8
Touch sharePickens: 12% (best)Burden: 11%
Target sharePickens: 22%Burden: 22%
Touches / gamePickens: 5.5Burden: 6.3 (best)
Targets / gamePickens: 8.7 (best)Burden: 7.2
Air yards sharePickens: 33% (best)Burden: 28%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsPickens: In lineBurden: Below
WOPRPickens: 0.55 (best)Burden: 0.53
RZ target sharePickens: 17%Burden: 26% (best)
Catch ratePickens: 63%Burden: 72% (best)
SeparationPickens: 2.6 ydsBurden: 3.1 yds (best)
YAC over expectedPickens: −0.1Burden: +0.5 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredPickens: Earned by usage 14.6Scored 13.6Burden: Earned by usage 13.8Scored 12.2
Rush yards / gamePickens: 0.0Burden: 3.7 (best)
Points from rushingPickens: 0%Burden: 3%
Vacated targets this weekPickens: 0.0Burden: 1.8 (best)
High value touches / gamePickens: 5.5 (best)Burden: 5.3
Goal line carry sharePickens: 0%Burden: 4% (best)
Red zone touches / gamePickens: 1.0Burden: 1.8 (best)
Rush success ratePickens: 0 carriesBurden: 43%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Pickens: 0 carriesBurden: 0%
Inside 10 target sharePickens: 33% (best)Burden: 20%
Rushing points / gamePickens: 0.0 pts / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorPickens: 0.0 pts / gameBurden: 0.1 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorPickens: 8.6 (best)Burden: 8.4
CeilingPickens: 25.0 (best)Burden: 20.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerPickens: 7%Burden: 8%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Pickens: 22% (best)Burden: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterPickens: 18%Burden: 17% (best)
SteadinessPickens: Steady±8.4 ptsBurden: Very steady (best)±5.3 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmPickens: B- (best)Burden: C+
Game scriptPickens: Expected to lead (best)Burden: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterPickens: 0.5 (best)Burden: 1.2
Defense funnelPickens: NeutralBurden: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedPickens: 25th (soft) (best)Burden: 14th (average)
Starting QBPickens: Prescott (Active)Burden: Williams (Active)
Roof / surfacePickens: OpengrassBurden: Open
Rest / schedulePickens: NormalBurden: Short week (4d)
Opp pacePickens: 28th (slow)Burden: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gamePickens: 3.2 (best)18th (average)Burden: 2.24th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedPickens: 60%11th (average)Burden: 66% (best)25th (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedPickens: 19th (average) (best)Burden: 9th (tough)
Opp stuff ratePickens: 19%14th (average)Burden: 13% (best)29th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedPickens: 4.015th (average)Burden: 4.1 (best)18th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgPickens: 16.9 (best)Burden: 12.6
Last 5 avgPickens: 15.2 (best)Burden: 12.8
vs seasonPickens: +3.3 (Rising) (best)Burden: +0.4 (Steady)
Yards per carryPickens: 0 carriesBurden: 3.1
Carries / gamePickens: 0.0Burden: 1.2 (best)
Yards per route runPickens: 2.12Burden: 2.47 (best)
Receiving aDOTPickens: 11.2Burden: 8.4
Target share trendPickens: SteadyBurden: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesPickens: 94% (best)Burden: 82%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterPickens: WR20 (best)Burden: WR21
Yards linereceivingPickens: 64.5 (best)Burden: 57.5

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