Burden
WR · CHI vs NE
FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE
Final points23.7pts
projected 13.2
Bernard
WR · PIT vs NO (Paris)
Kickoff Sun 9:30 AM ET
Projected points12.3pts
Luther Burden III or Germie Bernard: who should I start in Week 7?
Highlights
BurdenWR · CHI vs NEUsually 12.2+1.0pts this week
Helps him
- +1.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.41 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- 26.8team totalEdgeHis team was expected to score 26.8 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.2.
- 61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
BernardWR · PIT vs NO (Paris)Usually 8.8+3.5pts this week
Helps him
- +1.7ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 54.5 receiving yards, above his usual 37.8.
- +1.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.37 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.
- NOvs WRsEdgeNO is the 8th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- 5.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.9 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBurden: 13.2 (best)Bernard: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionBurden: 2.5 (best)Bernard: 2.2
Expected TDsthis weekBurden: 0.41 (best)Bernard: 0.37
Projected team pointsBurden: 26.8 (best)Bernard: 23.8
Goal line carriesper gameBurden: 0.2 (best)Bernard: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameBurden: 0.3 (best)Bernard: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameBurden: 1.5 (best)Bernard: 1.0
Role
Snap shareBurden: 61% (best)Bernard: 56%
Usage worthptsBurden: 13.8 (best)Bernard: 9.2
Touch shareBurden: 11% (best)Bernard: 9%
Target shareBurden: 22% (best)Bernard: 15%
Touches / gameBurden: 6.3 (best)Bernard: 4.2
Targets / gameBurden: 7.2 (best)Bernard: 5.3
Air yards shareBurden: 28% (best)Bernard: 10%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBurden: BelowBernard: In line
WOPRBurden: 0.53 (best)Bernard: 0.32
RZ target shareBurden: 26% (best)Bernard: 21%
Catch rateBurden: 72%Bernard: 75% (best)
SeparationBurden: 3.1 ydsBernard: 3.5 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBurden: +0.5 (best)Bernard: −0.5
Usage worth vs scoredBurden: Earned by usage 13.8Scored 12.2Bernard: Earned by usage 9.2Scored 8.8
Rush yards / gameBurden: 3.7 (best)Bernard: 0.7
Points from rushingBurden: 3%Bernard: 1%
Vacated targets this weekBurden: 1.8Bernard: 10.3 (best)
High value touches / gameBurden: 5.3 (best)Bernard: 4.0
Goal line carry shareBurden: 4% (best)Bernard: 0%
Red zone touches / gameBurden: 1.8 (best)Bernard: 1.0
Rush success rateBurden: 43% (best)Bernard: 0%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Burden: 0%Bernard: 0%
Inside 10 target shareBurden: 20% (best)Bernard: 10%
Rushing points / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)Bernard: 0.1 pts / game
Rushing floorBurden: 0.1 pts / game (best)Bernard: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorBurden: 8.4 (best)Bernard: 5.9
CeilingBurden: 20.7Bernard: 20.9 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBurden: 8%Bernard: 11%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Burden: 0%Bernard: 20% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBurden: 17% (best)Bernard: 40%
SteadinessBurden: Very steady (best)±5.3 pts · 6 gamesBernard: Volatile±9.7 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmBurden: C+Bernard: B (best)
Game scriptBurden: Expected to leadBernard: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBurden: 1.2 (best)Bernard: 1.5
Defense funnelBurden: NeutralBernard: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBurden: 14th (average)Bernard: 26th (soft) (best)
Starting QBBurden: Williams (Active)Bernard: Rodgers (Active)
WeatherBurden: No concernBernard: Outdoor60F, 16 mph wind, rain
Roof / surfaceBurden: OpenBernard: Openturf
Rest / scheduleBurden: Short week (4d)Bernard: Normal
Opp paceBurden: 9th (fast)Bernard: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBurden: 2.24th (tough)Bernard: 2.5 (best)6th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBurden: 66% (best)25th (soft)Bernard: 63%19th (average)
Opp rush yds allowedBurden: 9th (tough)Bernard: 30th (soft) (best)
Opp stuff rateBurden: 13%29th (soft)Bernard: 12% (best)30th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedBurden: 4.118th (average)Bernard: 4.8 (best)29th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBurden: 12.6Bernard: 14.4 (best)
Last 5 avgBurden: 12.8 (best)Bernard: 10.6
vs seasonBurden: +0.4 (Steady)Bernard: +5.5 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryBurden: 3.1Bernard: 1 carry
Carries / gameBurden: 1.2 (best)Bernard: 0.2
Yards per route runBurden: 2.47 (best)Bernard: 1.75
Receiving aDOTBurden: 8.4Bernard: 5.3
Target share trendBurden: SteadyBernard: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesBurden: 82%Bernard: 83% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBurden: WR21 (best)Bernard: WR23
Yards linereceivingBurden: 57.5 (best)Bernard: 54.5
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.