Helm
TE · TEN vs BAL
Proj pts
7.6pts
market
Fant
TE · NO vs ATL
QuestionableProj pts
6.9pts
market
Gunnar Helm or Noah Fant: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Gunnar Helm over Noah Fant by 0.7. Gunnar Helm leads at 7.6. Noah Fant is the first one out, 0.7 short.
Crowd: 35% of managers started Fant.
Availability & news
Noah FantQuestionable
Fant was limited in practice Thursday due to an abdominal injury.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low TE usage11% target share
- Thin volume3.4 targets/g
Pros
- Spike upside14.8 ceiling
Cons
- Low TE usage9% target share
- Thin volume3.2 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Helm 3.5, Fant 10.9.
Fant (Questionable): “Fant was limited in practice Thursday due to an abdominal injury.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Helm 3.4 (PPR points).
Why Gunnar Helm
Start Gunnar Helm — projects 7.6, a tough matchup vs BAL.
Gunnar Helm projects 7.6 points on a 3.2–10.1 range. The matchup grades as tough against BAL. Usage: targets / game at 3.4. Net: start Gunnar Helm this week.
Working against Helm: Low TE usage (11% target share), Thin volume (3.4 targets/g).
Where Helm leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.6 vs 6.9); Floor (3.2 vs 1.6); Target share (11% vs 9%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (D vs D-); Targets / game (3.4 vs 3.2); Snap share (53% vs 40%); Red zone targets (8 vs 4).
Why Noah Fant
Sit Noah Fant — projects 6.9, a tough matchup vs ATL, with a rising role.
Noah Fant projects 6.9 points on a 1.6–14.8 range. The matchup grades as tough against ATL. Usage: targets / game at 3.2. Net: bench Noah Fant this week.
Working for Fant: Spike upside (14.8 ceiling).
Working against Fant: Low TE usage (9% target share), Thin volume (3.2 targets/g).
Where Fant leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (14.8 vs 10.1); Implied team total (25.8 vs 16.0); Last 3 avg (10.9 vs 4.5); Last 5 avg (10.9 vs 3.5); vs season (+6.2 vs -2.5); Consistency (40% vs 34%); Boom rate (27% vs 19%); Bust rate (27% vs 31%); Touchdown dependence (24% vs 13%).
Recent form
Gunnar Helm's last 5 games: PPR points 2.9, 1.1, 6.8, 3.3, 3.4 (oldest to newest).
Noah Fant's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 13.3, 19.3 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Helm has already beaten Fant's 6.9 projection in 0 of his 5; Fant has beaten Helm's 7.6 in 2 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Gunnar Helm (TEN) faces BAL, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 16.0, spread +11.5.
Noah Fant (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.
What flips it
Helm's edge is 0.7 points (7.6 to 6.9). Fant's ceiling (14.8) clears Helm's projection, so a big game from Fant flips it. Helm's floor (3.2) sits under Fant's projection, so a quiet game from Helm flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Colston Loveland or Hunter Henry11.3 · 11.2
- Juwan Johnson or Tucker Kraft12.3 · 12.2
- AJ Barner or Hunter Henry11.2 · 11.2
- Isaiah Likely or Tucker Kraft12.2 · 12.2
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.4 · 11.3
- AJ Barner or Colston Loveland11.2 · 11.3
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)