Muse
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points1.3ptsUsage estimate
Thomas
TE · LV @ NYJ
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · shoulder
Projected points1.4ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Ian Thomas or Nick Muse: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Nick Muse gets the nod over Ian Thomas.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Thomas
The case for Thomas is an offense expected to score more (22.0 points to 20.5) and more of the snaps (33% to 18%).
Flips if
If the weather in Nick Muse's game turns worse, start Ian Thomas.
Risk
Weather in Nick Muse's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Ian Thomas was limited in practice: check the final injury report and the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 8:00 PM ET
Highlights
MuseToss-upTE · ATL @ TBUsually 1.4−0.1pts this week
Helps him
- +1.3ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- 1%targetsHe draws only 1% of his team’s targets.
- 0.3per gameHe sees only 0.3 targets a game.
ThomasFirst outTE · LV @ NYJUsually 2.4−1.1pts this week
Helps him
- OutBaileyEdgeHe faces a Jets defense without linebacker David Bailey.
Hurts him
- −1.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
- −0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- 2%targetsHe draws only 2% of his team’s targets.
- 0.7per gameHe sees only 0.7 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMuse: 1.3Thomas: 1.4 (best)
Projected team pointsMuse: 20.5Thomas: 22.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameMuse: 0.1 (best)Thomas: 0.0
Role
Snap shareMuse: 18%Thomas: 33% (best)
Usage worthptsMuse: 0.6Thomas: 1.1 (best)
Target shareMuse: 1%Thomas: 2% (best)
Targets / gameMuse: 0.3Thomas: 0.7 (best)
Air yards shareMuse: 0.2%Thomas: 1% (best)
Vacated targets this weekMuse: 0.0Thomas: 3.0 (best)
RZ target shareMuse: 4% (best)Thomas: 0%
Inside 10 target shareMuse: 9% (best)Thomas: 0%
Catch rateMuse: 2 targetsThomas: 100%
Usage worth vs scoredMuse: Earned by usage 0.6Scored 1.2Thomas: Earned by usage 1.1Scored 2.4
WOPRMuse: 0.01Thomas: 0.03 (best)
Range
FloorMuse: 0.6Thomas: 0.7 (best)
CeilingMuse: 2.1Thomas: 2.3 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMuse: 73%Thomas: 35%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Muse: 2 gamesThomas: 0%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterMuse: 2 gamesThomas: 80%
SteadinessMuse: 2 gamesThomas: Volatile±4.4 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmMuse: B (best)Thomas: C
Game scriptMuse: Expected to trailThomas: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMuse: 1.7Thomas: 1.1 (best)
Defense funnelMuse: NeutralThomas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMuse: 14th (average) (best)Thomas: 5th (tough)
Starting QBMuse: Penix (Active)Thomas: Cousins (Active)
Opp defender outMuse: None listedThomas: Bailey (LB)
WeatherMuse: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainThomas: No concern
Roof / surfaceMuse: OpengrassThomas: Openturf
Rest / scheduleMuse: NormalThomas: Normal
Opp paceMuse: 14th (average) (best)Thomas: 28th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMuse: 0.6 (best)18th (average)Thomas: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedMuse: 70%12th (average)Thomas: 72% (best)14th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgMuse: 2.7 (best)Thomas: 1.2
Last 5 avgMuse: 1.6Thomas: 3.0 (best)
vs seasonMuse: +1.6 (Rising) (best)Thomas: −1.2 (Cooling)
Yards per route runMuse: 0.18Thomas: 1.67 (best)
Receiving aDOTMuse: 2 targetsThomas: 5.0
Target share trendMuse: SteadyThomas: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMuse: TE69Thomas: TE64 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.