Scoring
#1 Start

Etienne

RB · NO vs ATL

Mon 8:15 PM

Proj pts

10.5pts

opportunity

Mod Conf
Bench

Davis

RB · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

9.8pts

market

Mod Conf

Isaiah Davis or Travis Etienne: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Travis Etienne over Isaiah Davis by 0.7. Travis Etienne leads at 10.5. Isaiah Davis is the first one out, 0.7 short.

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Availability & news

  • Travis EtienneIr

    The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Travis EtienneStart
RB · NO vs ATL

Pros

  • Spike upside21.0 ceiling
Isaiah DavisBench
RB · NYJ vs CHI

Pros

  • Big-play upside30% boom weeks

Cons

  • Committee back8% of touches
  • Negative game scriptTrailing

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

EtienneStart
DavisBench
Projection10.59.8
Floor8.41.5
Ceiling21.011.4
Touch share36%8%
Opportunity score14.24.3
Matchup grade(recency weighted)CC
Implied team total25.020.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Etienne 10.3, Davis 1.3.

Etienne (Ir): “The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Davis 0 (PPR points).

Why Travis Etienne

Start Travis Etienne — projects 10.5, an even matchup vs ATL, but the role is cooling.

Travis Etienne projects 10.5 points on a 8.4–21.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ATL. Usage: carries / game at 15.3. Net: start Travis Etienne this week.

Working for Etienne: Spike upside (21.0 ceiling).

Where Etienne leads the head-to-head: Projection (10.5 vs 9.8); Floor (8.4 vs 1.5); Ceiling (21.0 vs 11.4); Touch share (36% vs 8%); Opportunity score (14.2 vs 4.3); Implied team total (25.0 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (10.3 vs 1.3); Last 5 avg (9.4 vs 5.5); Consistency (55% vs 14%); Bust rate (18% vs 40%); Carries / game (15.3 vs 2.7); Touches / game (17.4 vs 4.0); Target share (10% vs 6%); Snap share (60% vs 28%); Goal line carries (12 vs 0); Red zone carries (56 vs 9).

Why Isaiah Davis

Sit Isaiah Davis — projects 9.8, an even matchup vs CHI, but the role is cooling.

Isaiah Davis projects 9.8 points on a 1.5–11.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: carries / game at 2.7. Net: bench Isaiah Davis this week.

Working for Davis: Big-play upside (30% boom weeks).

Working against Davis: Committee back (8% of touches), Negative game script (Trailing).

Where Davis leads the head-to-head: vs season (+1.7 vs -4.8); Boom rate (30% vs 6%); Yards per carry (5.5 vs 4.3).

Recent form

Travis Etienne's last 5 games: PPR points 4.8, 7.1, 9, 11.2, 14.8 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Isaiah Davis's last 5 games: PPR points 13.5, 10, 4, 0, 0 (oldest to newest).

Etienne has already beaten Davis's 9.8 projection in 2 of his 5; Davis has beaten Etienne's 10.5 in 1 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Travis Etienne (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 25.0, spread -2.5.

Isaiah Davis (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

What flips it

Etienne's edge is 0.7 points (10.5 to 9.8). Davis's ceiling (11.4) clears Etienne's projection, so a big game from Davis flips it. Etienne's floor (8.4) sits under Davis's projection, so a quiet game from Etienne flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.