WRBAL vs TENWR1216.5 projected (12.7–24.3)PPR
Should I start Zay Flowers in Week 4?
Start Zay Flowers in Week 4. Flowers projects 16.5 PPR points to Xavier Worthy's 11.3.
Measured against the WR36 start line: Xavier Worthy, WR37 at 11.3 projected PPR points, the first wide receiver below it.
Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET
Why Zay Flowers
Start Zay Flowers — projects 16.5, a favorable matchup vs TEN, with a rising role, carrying a questionable tag.
Zay Flowers projects 16.5 points on a 12.7–24.3 range. The matchup grades as favorable against TEN. Usage: targets / game at 6.9. Track the questionable designation before kickoff. Net: Zay Flowers is start this week.
Working for Flowers: Clear start (5.2 pts clear), Alpha target share (30% target share), High-scoring spot (27.5 team total).
Matchup
Zay Flowers (BAL) faces TEN, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 27.5, spread -11.5.
Recent form
Zay Flowers's last 5 games: PPR points 21.2, 13, 29.8, 26, 15.4 (oldest to newest).
At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.
What flips it
Flowers's edge is 5.2 points (16.5 to 11.3). Worthy's ceiling (16.4) stays under Flowers's projection and Flowers's floor (12.7) stays over Worthy's, so neither range reaches the other's projection. Confidence in the call: high.
Compare Zay Flowers with…
The players closest to Zay Flowersin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.