Hurts
QB · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
16.6pts
market
Brissett
QB · ARI vs NYG
Proj pts
16.1pts
market
Jacoby Brissett or Jalen Hurts: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Jalen Hurts. Bench Jacoby Brissett. Jalen Hurts leads at 16.6. Jacoby Brissett is the first one out, 0.5 short.
Crowd: 67% of managers started Hurts, 42% started Brissett.
Highlights
Pros
- Rushing floor6.6 rush att/g
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs QB
- Reliable81% consistency
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is rushing production share: Hurts 29%, Brissett 10%.
Latest game on the card: Hurts 12.6 (PPR points).
Why Jalen Hurts
Start Jalen Hurts — projects 16.6, an even matchup vs LA.
Jalen Hurts projects 16.6 points on a 13.9–24.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: pass attempts / game at 28.4. Net: start Jalen Hurts this week.
Working for Hurts: Rushing floor (6.6 rush att/g).
Where Hurts leads the head-to-head: Projection (16.6 vs 16.1); Ceiling (24.1 vs 20.2); Last 3 avg (17.8 vs 16.2); Last 5 avg (16.8 vs 16.1); vs season (-0.5 vs -0.8); Boom rate (12% vs 0%); Yards per attempt (7.1 vs 6.9); Touchdown rate (6% vs 5%); Rush attempts / game (6.6 vs 2.7); Rush yards / game (26.3 vs 12.0); Rushing production share (29% vs 10%).
Why Jacoby Brissett
Sit Jacoby Brissett — projects 16.1, a favorable matchup vs NYG.
Jacoby Brissett projects 16.1 points on a 14.7–20.2 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYG. Usage: pass attempts / game at 34.6. Net: bench Jacoby Brissett this week.
Working for Brissett: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs QB), Reliable (81% consistency).
Where Brissett leads the head-to-head: Floor (14.7 vs 13.9); Pass attempts (34.6 vs 28.4); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs C); Implied team total (23.0 vs 20.3); Consistency (81% vs 63%); Bust rate (0% vs 12%); Pass attempts / game (34.6 vs 28.4); Completions / game (22.5 vs 18.4); Grade vs QB (recency weighted) (B+ vs C); Implied total (23.0 vs 20.3).
Recent form
Jalen Hurts's last 5 games: PPR points 21.4, 8.9, 24.7, 16.2, 12.6 (oldest to newest).
Jacoby Brissett's last 5 games: PPR points 6.5, 15.6, 16.5, 16.5, 25.6 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Hurts has already beaten Brissett's 16.1 projection in 3 of his 5; Brissett has beaten Hurts's 16.6 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Jalen Hurts (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.3, spread +3.0.
Jacoby Brissett (ARI) faces NYG, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread -1.5.
What flips it
Hurts's edge is 0.5 points (16.6 to 16.1). Brissett's ceiling (20.2) clears Hurts's projection, so a big game from Brissett flips it. Hurts's floor (13.9) sits under Brissett's projection, so a quiet game from Hurts flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Jalen Hurts comparisons
- Bo Nix or Jalen Hurts16.6 · 16.6
- Jalen Hurts or Jared Goff16.6 · 16.5
- Brock Purdy or Jalen Hurts16.9 · 16.6
- Jalen Hurts or Jordan Love16.6 · 16.3
This week's toughest calls
- Drake Maye or Dak Prescott17.9 · 17.9
- Drake Maye or Tyler Shough17.9 · 17.9
- Dak Prescott or Tyler Shough17.9 · 17.9
- Kyler Murray or Matthew Stafford16.2 · 16.2
- Daniel Jones or Geno Smith16.2 · 16.2
- Lamar Jackson or Drake Maye17.9 · 17.9
- More QB start/sit calls (quarterbacks this week)