Kelce
TE · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Ankle
Projected points11.1pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Ferguson
TE · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points5.2pts
Start if active
Bench
Jake Ferguson or Travis Kelce: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Travis Kelce over Jake Ferguson.
- Ahead by
- +5.9pts
- over Ferguson if he plays
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Travis Kelce may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 80%
- of leagues
Flips if
If Travis Kelce is ruled out before Jake Ferguson's game starts, start Jake Ferguson.
Risk
Travis Kelce was limited in practice (ankle): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
KelceStart if activeTE · KC @ DENUsually 11.7−0.6pts this week
Helps him
- +0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 4.0.
- 17.6ceilingHis best weeks reach about 17.6 points.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.5 receiving yards, below his usual 57.2.
- −4.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.7 points below his season average.
FergusonFirst outTE · DAL vs ARIUsually 6.4−1.2pts this week
Helps him
- 30.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 30.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- ARIvs TEsEdgeARI is the 7th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −0.9ptscatchesHis lines put him at 1.5 catches, below his usual 2.4.
- 9%targetsHe draws only 9% of his team’s targets.
- 3.6per gameHe sees only 3.6 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKelce: 11.1 (best)Ferguson: 5.2
TD pointsof the projectionKelce: 2.0Ferguson: 2.2 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekKelce: 0.33Ferguson: 0.37 (best)
Projected team pointsKelce: 20.8Ferguson: 30.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameKelce: 0.5Ferguson: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareKelce: 78% (best)Ferguson: 67%
Usage worthptsKelce: 9.4 (best)Ferguson: 6.1
Target shareKelce: 19% (best)Ferguson: 9%
Targets / gameKelce: 5.8 (best)Ferguson: 3.6
Air yards shareKelce: 20% (best)Ferguson: 6%
Vacated targets this weekKelce: 3.8 (best)Ferguson: 0.0
RZ target shareKelce: 12%Ferguson: 12%
Inside 10 target shareKelce: 0%Ferguson: 20% (best)
Catch rateKelce: 69% (best)Ferguson: 68%
SeparationKelce: 3.8 ydsFerguson: 3.8 yds
YAC over expectedKelce: +3.0 (best)Ferguson: −0.2
Usage worth vs scoredKelce: Earned by usage 9.4Scored 11.7Ferguson: Earned by usage 6.1Scored 6.4
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsKelce: AboveFerguson: Above
WOPRKelce: 0.43 (best)Ferguson: 0.18
Range
FloorKelce: 6.8 (best)Ferguson: 2.6
CeilingKelce: 17.6 (best)Ferguson: 8.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKelce: 17%Ferguson: 40%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Kelce: 17% (best)Ferguson: 9%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterKelce: 17% (best)Ferguson: 58%
SteadinessKelce: Steady (best)±7.4 pts · 6 gamesFerguson: Up & down±5.7 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmKelce: C+Ferguson: B+ (best)
Game scriptKelce: Expected to leadFerguson: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKelce: 1.4Ferguson: 1.1 (best)
Defense funnelKelce: NeutralFerguson: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedKelce: 17th (average)Ferguson: 21st (average) (best)
Starting QBKelce: Mahomes (Active)Ferguson: Prescott (Active)
Opp defender outKelce: Elliss (LB)Ferguson: None listed
Roof / surfaceKelce: OpengrassFerguson: Retractable roofturf
Rest / scheduleKelce: NormalFerguson: Normal
Opp paceKelce: 30th (slow)Ferguson: 2nd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameKelce: 0.411th (average)Ferguson: 0.6 (best)18th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedKelce: 72%13th (average)Ferguson: 78% (best)29th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgKelce: 7.1 (best)Ferguson: 2.7
Last 5 avgKelce: 12.0 (best)Ferguson: 4.3
vs seasonKelce: −4.7 (Cooling)Ferguson: −3.6 (Cooling) (best)
Yards per route runKelce: 2.21 (best)Ferguson: 0.64
Receiving aDOTKelce: 6.3Ferguson: 5.0
Target share trendKelce: RisingFerguson: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesKelce: 81%Ferguson: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKelce: TE6 (best)Ferguson: TE32
Yards linereceivingKelce: 46.5 (best)Ferguson: 14.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.