Ferguson
TE · DAL vs PHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points6.4pts
Warren
TE · IND vs MIN
Out · GroinRuled out
Projected points—
Jake Ferguson or Tyler Warren: who should I start in Week 7?
Start Jake Ferguson.
Highlights
Injuries as of Mon 2:32 PM ETWhat moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week
—
- Hurts him: His lines put him at 0.32 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.−1.1 pts
Usually scores 7.4 → projected 6.4−1.0 pts
Also worth knowing
- He draws only 10% of his team's targets.
- He sees only 4.0 targets a game.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionFerguson: 6.4Warren: Ruled out
TD pointsof the projectionFerguson: 1.9Warren: Ruled out
Expected TDsthis weekFerguson: 0.32Warren: Ruled out
Projected team pointsFerguson: 24.3 (best)Warren: 17.5
Red zone targetsper gameFerguson: 0.7Warren: 0.8 (best)
Role
Snap shareFerguson: 69%Warren: 91% (best)
Usage worthptsFerguson: 6.6Warren: 12.3 (best)
Target shareFerguson: 10%Warren: 21% (best)
Targets / gameFerguson: 4.0Warren: 7.2 (best)
Air yards shareFerguson: 7%Warren: 12% (best)
Vacated targets this weekFerguson: 0.0Warren: 3.5 (best)
RZ target shareFerguson: 11%Warren: 22% (best)
Inside 10 target shareFerguson: 17%Warren: 33% (best)
Catch rateFerguson: 71%Warren: 83% (best)
SeparationFerguson: 3.8 ydsWarren: 4.0 yds (best)
YAC over expectedFerguson: −0.2 (best)Warren: −0.8
Usage worth vs scoredFerguson: Earned by usage 6.6Scored 7.4Warren: Earned by usage 12.3Scored 14.0
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsFerguson: AboveWarren: Above
WOPRFerguson: 0.20Warren: 0.39 (best)
Range
FloorFerguson: 3.2Warren: Ruled out
CeilingFerguson: 10.5Warren: Ruled out
Points from TDssteadier when lowerFerguson: 40%Warren: 26%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Ferguson: 10%Warren: 20% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterFerguson: 56%Warren: 0% (best)
SteadinessFerguson: Up & down±5.6 ptsWarren: Very steady (best)±4.8 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionFerguson: C (best)2026, 6 gmWarren: D+2026, 5 gm
Game scriptFerguson: Expected to lead (best)Warren: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterFerguson: 0.5 (best)Warren: 2.0
Defense funnelFerguson: NeutralWarren: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedFerguson: 25th (soft) (best)Warren: 3rd (tough)
Starting QBFerguson: Prescott (Active)Warren: Jones (Active)
Roof / surfaceFerguson: OpengrassWarren: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleFerguson: NormalWarren: Normal
Opp paceFerguson: 28th (slow)Warren: 23rd (slow) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameFerguson: 0.513th (average)Warren: 0.6 (best)21st (average)
Opp catch rate allowedFerguson: 73% (best)19th (average)Warren: 52%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgFerguson: 4.1Warren: 15.1 (best)
Last 5 avgFerguson: 8.4Warren: 14.0 (best)
vs seasonFerguson: −3.3 (Cooling)Warren: +1.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runFerguson: 0.70Warren: 1.40 (best)
Receiving aDOTFerguson: 4.9Warren: 4.0
Target share trendFerguson: SteadyWarren: Steady
Games since injuryFerguson: None recentlyWarren: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesFerguson: Not widely startedWarren: 47%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterFerguson: TE24Warren: Ruled out
Yards linereceivingFerguson: 19.5Warren: Ruled out
Deciding on someone else?
Pick 2 to 5 players for any week.