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Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Shakir

WR · BUF vs BAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points9.5pts

First out

Waddle

WR · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest

Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate

9.6 if he plays · 80% to play

Toss-up

Bench

Jaylen Waddle or Khalil Shakir: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Khalil Shakir gets the nod over Jaylen Waddle.

Ahead by: +1.8pts; over Waddle
Confidence: Lower; Jaylen Waddle may not play (about 80% to play)
Started: 53%; of leagues

Waddle's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

An injury tag on Khalil Shakir or a bigger role for Jaylen Waddle.

Risk

Jaylen Waddle was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

ShakirToss-upWR · BUF vs BALUsually 9.2+0.4pts this week

Helps him

+1.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.34 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
BALvs WRsEdgeBAL is the 5th softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

−0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 39.5 receiving yards, below his usual 48.3.
63%snapsHe plays only 63% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

WaddleFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 9.1−1.4pts this week

Helps him

+1.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

−1.9ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.9 points off his projection.
−0.9ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
66%snapsHe plays only 66% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection9.57.7

TD pointsof the projection2.0Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.34Our estimate

Projected team points28.819.8

Red zone targetsper game1.20.7

Role

Snap share63%66%

Usage worthpts9.410.9

Target share20%23%

Targets / game5.36.4

Air yards share13%37%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsIn lineIn line

WOPR0.390.60

RZ target share27%15%

Catch rate69%58%

Separation4.0 yds3.7 yds

YAC over expected+0.2+0.5

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.4Scored 9.2Earned by usage 10.9Scored 9.1

Vacated targets this week0.03.0

Inside 10 target share25%0%

Range

Floor6.64.7

Ceiling14.112.8

Points from TDssteadier when lower11%9%

Big weeks (20+ pts)4%14%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better28%57%

SteadinessSteady±5.1 ptsUp & down±6.9 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionA-2026, 7 gmD2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.91.7

Defense funnelPassNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed15th (average)12th (average)

Starting QBAllen (Active)Nix (Active)

Opp defender outRobinson (LB)None listed

Roof / surfaceOpenturfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleOff a byeNormal

Opp pace17th (average)24th (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.911th (average)3.217th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed67%29th (soft)57%5th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg12.56.7

Last 5 avg9.28.2

vs season+3.4 (Rising)−2.5 (Cooling)

Yards per route run2.341.62

Receiving aDOT6.110.1

Target share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues54%43%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR37WR48

Yards linereceiving39.5Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

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