Coleman
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Barkley
RB · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points6.0ptsUsage estimate
13.2 if he plays · 46% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Jonah Coleman or Saquon Barkley: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Jonah Coleman gets the nod over Saquon Barkley.
- Ahead by
- +2.8pts
- over Barkley
- Confidence
- Lower
- Saquon Barkley may not play (about 46% to play)
Barkley's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Jonah Coleman or a bigger role for Saquon Barkley.
Risk
Jonah Coleman has played 1 game since missing time. Saquon Barkley missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Saquon Barkley has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
ColemanToss-upRB · DEN vs KCUsually 7.9+0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 39.0 rushing yards, above his usual 31.0.
Hurts him
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
BarkleyFirst outRB · PHI @ WASUsually 12.5−6.5pts this week
Helps him
- +5.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- +5.0ptsroleWith Pierce out, his expected role grows this week.
Hurts him
- −9.5ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.5 points off his projection.
- −3.5ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
- −3.2ptsrecent workHis work has dropped off in his last few games.
- −0.7ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionColeman: 8.8 (best)Barkley: 6.0
TD pointsof the projectionColeman: 2.2Barkley: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekColeman: 0.37Barkley: Our estimate
Projected team pointsColeman: 19.8 (best)Barkley: 17.0
Goal line carriesper gameColeman: 0.3Barkley: 0.4 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameColeman: 1.0Barkley: 1.6 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameColeman: 0.0Barkley: 0.0
Role
Snap shareColeman: 32%Barkley: 36% (best)
Usage worthptsColeman: 6.2Barkley: 7.6 (best)
Touch shareColeman: 20%Barkley: 22% (best)
Target shareColeman: 6%Barkley: 7% (best)
Touches / gameColeman: 8.0Barkley: 9.8 (best)
Targets / gameColeman: 1.7Barkley: 1.8 (best)
Air yards shareColeman: 0.5%Barkley: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekColeman: 2.6Barkley: 29.6 (best)
High value touches / gameColeman: 2.3 (best)Barkley: 2.0
Goal line carry shareColeman: 20%Barkley: 29% (best)
Red zone touches / gameColeman: 1.0Barkley: 1.6 (best)
Rush success rateColeman: 47% (best)Barkley: 42%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Coleman: 0%Barkley: 4.7% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredColeman: Earned by usage 6.2Scored 7.9Barkley: Earned by usage 7.6Scored 7.6
Rush yards / gameColeman: 31.0Barkley: 48.8 (best)
Points from rushingColeman: 65%Barkley: 80%
WOPRColeman: 0.10 (best)Barkley: 0.09
RZ target shareColeman: 0%Barkley: 0%
Inside 10 target shareColeman: 0%Barkley: 0%
Catch rateColeman: 100% (best)Barkley: 67%
Rushing points / gameColeman: 5.1 pts / gameBarkley: 6.1 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorColeman: 4.0 pts / game (best)Barkley: 3.3 pts / game
Range
FloorColeman: 5.3 (best)Barkley: 0.0
CeilingColeman: 13.7 (best)Barkley: 8.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerColeman: 25%Barkley: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Coleman: 2 gamesBarkley: 10%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterColeman: 2 gamesBarkley: 14%
SteadinessColeman: 2 gamesBarkley: Steady±6.7 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmColeman: D+Barkley: C (best)
Game scriptColeman: Expected to trail (best)Barkley: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterColeman: 1.7Barkley: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelColeman: NeutralBarkley: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedColeman: 13th (average)Barkley: 14th (average) (best)
Backfield roleColeman: BackupBarkley: Lead
Opp defender outColeman: None listedBarkley: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassColeman: OpenBarkley: Open
Rest / scheduleColeman: NormalBarkley: Normal
Opp paceColeman: 24th (slow)Barkley: 12th (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateColeman: 21%9th (tough)Barkley: 18% (best)17th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedColeman: 3.42nd (tough)Barkley: 3.8 (best)8th (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedColeman: 12th (average)Barkley: 28th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameColeman: 0.01st (tough)Barkley: 0.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedColeman: 79% (best)17th (average)Barkley: 73%10th (tough)
Starting QBColeman: Nix (Active)Barkley: McKee (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgColeman: 7.9Barkley: 8.7 (best)
Last 5 avgColeman: 7.9 (best)Barkley: 7.6
vs seasonColeman: RisingBarkley: +1.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryColeman: 4.9Barkley: 5.7 (best)
Carries / gameColeman: 6.3Barkley: 8.6 (best)
Yards per route runColeman: 3.40 (best)Barkley: 0.65
Receiving aDOTColeman: 0.6Barkley: −0.6
Touch share trendColeman: RisingBarkley: Left 2 games hurt
Games since injuryColeman: 1Barkley: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesColeman: Not widely startedBarkley: 65%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterColeman: RB27 (best)Barkley: RB38
Yards linerushingColeman: 39.0Barkley: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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