Coleman
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Allgeier
RB · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Toe
Projected points5.9ptsUsage estimate
7.3 if he plays · 80% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Jonah Coleman or Tyler Allgeier: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Jonah Coleman gets the nod over Tyler Allgeier.
- Ahead by
- +2.9pts
- over Allgeier
- Confidence
- Lower
- Tyler Allgeier may not play (about 80% to play)
Allgeier's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Jonah Coleman or a bigger role for Tyler Allgeier.
Risk
Jonah Coleman has played 1 game since missing time. Tyler Allgeier was limited in practice (toe): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
ColemanToss-upRB · DEN vs KCUsually 7.9+0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 39.0 rushing yards, above his usual 31.0.
Hurts him
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
AllgeierFirst outRB · ARI @ DALUsually 6.9−1.0pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- DALvs RBsEdgeDAL is the softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- −1.4ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.4 points off his projection.
- 21%touchesHe handles only 21% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- +7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail, which can cut his carries.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionColeman: 8.8 (best)Allgeier: 5.9
TD pointsof the projectionColeman: 2.2Allgeier: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekColeman: 0.37Allgeier: Our estimate
Projected team pointsColeman: 19.8Allgeier: 23.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameColeman: 0.3Allgeier: 0.3
Red zone carriesper gameColeman: 1.0Allgeier: 1.7 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameColeman: 0.0Allgeier: 0.4 (best)
Role
Snap shareColeman: 32%Allgeier: 52% (best)
Usage worthptsColeman: 6.2Allgeier: 8.9 (best)
Touch shareColeman: 20%Allgeier: 21% (best)
Target shareColeman: 6%Allgeier: 6%
Touches / gameColeman: 8.0Allgeier: 11.0 (best)
Targets / gameColeman: 1.7Allgeier: 2.4 (best)
Air yards shareColeman: 0.5%Allgeier: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekColeman: 2.6 (best)Allgeier: 0.0
High value touches / gameColeman: 2.3Allgeier: 3.1 (best)
Goal line carry shareColeman: 20%Allgeier: 25% (best)
Red zone touches / gameColeman: 1.0Allgeier: 2.1 (best)
Rush success rateColeman: 47% (best)Allgeier: 31%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Coleman: 0%Allgeier: 1.6% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredColeman: Earned by usage 6.2Scored 7.9Allgeier: Earned by usage 8.9Scored 6.9
Rush yards / gameColeman: 31.0 (best)Allgeier: 25.1
Points from rushingColeman: 65%Allgeier: 49%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsColeman: 0 RZ targetsAllgeier: Below
WOPRColeman: 0.10 (best)Allgeier: 0.08
RZ target shareColeman: 0%Allgeier: 5% (best)
Inside 10 target shareColeman: 0%Allgeier: 0%
Catch rateColeman: 100% (best)Allgeier: 94%
Rushing points / gameColeman: 5.1 pts / game (best)Allgeier: 3.4 pts / game
Rushing floorColeman: 4.0 pts / game (best)Allgeier: 2.1 pts / game
Range
FloorColeman: 5.3 (best)Allgeier: 3.8
CeilingColeman: 13.7 (best)Allgeier: 8.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerColeman: 25%Allgeier: 13%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Coleman: 2 gamesAllgeier: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterColeman: 2 gamesAllgeier: 71%
SteadinessColeman: 2 gamesAllgeier: Very steady±3.3 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionColeman: D+2026, 6 gmAllgeier: A+ (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptColeman: Expected to trail (best)Allgeier: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterColeman: 1.7Allgeier: 0.6 (best)
Defense funnelColeman: NeutralAllgeier: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedColeman: 13th (average)Allgeier: 31st (soft) (best)
Backfield roleColeman: BackupAllgeier: Committee
Opp defender outColeman: None listedAllgeier: Bullard (DE)
Roof / surfaceColeman: OpengrassAllgeier: Retractable roofturf
Rest / scheduleColeman: NormalAllgeier: Normal
Opp paceColeman: 24th (slow)Allgeier: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateColeman: 21%9th (tough)Allgeier: 16% (best)24th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedColeman: 3.42nd (tough)Allgeier: 4.4 (best)25th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedColeman: 12th (average)Allgeier: 15th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Coleman: 0.0Allgeier: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedColeman: 79%17th (average)Allgeier: 80% (best)18th (average)
Starting QBColeman: Nix (Active)Allgeier: Brissett (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgColeman: 7.9 (best)Allgeier: 5.8
Last 5 avgColeman: 7.9 (best)Allgeier: 7.0
vs seasonColeman: Rising (best)Allgeier: −1.1 (Cooling)
Yards per carryColeman: 4.9 (best)Allgeier: 2.9
Carries / gameColeman: 6.3Allgeier: 8.7 (best)
Yards per route runColeman: 3.40 (best)Allgeier: 0.79
Receiving aDOTColeman: 0.6Allgeier: −2.1
Touch share trendColeman: RisingAllgeier: Steady
Games since injuryColeman: 1Allgeier: None recently
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterColeman: RB27 (best)Allgeier: RB40
Yards linerushingColeman: 39.0Allgeier: Our estimate
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