Addison
WR · MIN vs MIA
Proj pts
9.5pts
opportunity
Harrison
WR · ARI vs NYG
Proj pts
9.4pts
market
Jordan Addison or Marvin Harrison Jr.: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Jordan Addison. Bench Marvin Harrison Jr. Jordan Addison leads at 9.5. Marvin Harrison Jr. is the first one out, 0.0 short.
Crowd: 58% of managers started Addison.
Addison and Harrison are effectively tied on projection — Addison gets the start on the tie-break.
Highlights
Pros
- Every-down role85% of snaps
Cons
- Shaky floor3.4 floor
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR
Cons
- Shaky floor3.2 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Addison 7.7, Harrison 2.7.
Latest game on the card: Addison 20, Harrison 7 (PPR points).
Why Jordan Addison
Start Jordan Addison — projects 9.5, an even matchup vs MIA, with a rising role.
Jordan Addison projects 9.5 points on a 3.4–11.7 range. The matchup grades as neutral against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: start Jordan Addison this week.
Working for Addison: Every-down role (85% of snaps).
Working against Addison: Shaky floor (3.4 floor).
Where Addison leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.5 vs 9.4); Floor (3.4 vs 3.2); Implied team total (24.5 vs 23.0); Last 3 avg (8.0 vs 3.8); Last 5 avg (7.7 vs 2.7); vs season (+0.7 vs -5.0); Consistency (42% vs 38%); Bust rate (21% vs 27%); Snap share (85% vs 71%); Red zone targets (13 vs 11); Implied total (24.5 vs 23.0).
Why Marvin Harrison Jr.
Sit Marvin Harrison Jr. — projects 9.4, a favorable matchup vs NYG, but the role is cooling.
Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 9.4 points on a 3.2–14.0 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYG. Usage: targets / game at 6.1. Net: bench Marvin Harrison Jr. this week.
Working for Harrison: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR).
Working against Harrison: Shaky floor (3.2 floor).
Where Harrison leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (14.0 vs 11.7); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs C); Boom rate (27% vs 21%); Targets / game (6.1 vs 5.6); Grade vs WR (recency weighted) (B+ vs C).
Recent form
Jordan Addison's last 5 games: PPR points 12.5, 1.8, 0, 4.1, 20 (oldest to newest).
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 2.4, 0, 4.3, 0, 7 (oldest to newest).
Addison has already beaten Harrison's 9.4 projection in 2 of his 5; Harrison has beaten Addison's 9.5 in 0 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Jordan Addison (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) faces NYG, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread -1.5.
What flips it
Addison's edge is 0.1 points (9.5 to 9.4). Harrison's ceiling (14) clears Addison's projection, so a big game from Harrison flips it. Addison's floor (3.4) sits under Harrison's projection, so a quiet game from Addison flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DK Metcalf or DJ Moore12.5 · 12.5
- Zay Flowers or Tee Higgins16.5 · 16.5
- George Pickens or Christian Watson16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)