Pittman
WR · PIT vs CLE
QuestionableProj pts
9.7pts
market
Addison
WR · MIN vs MIA
Proj pts
9.5pts
opportunity
Jordan Addison or Michael Pittman: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Michael Pittman. Bench Jordan Addison. Michael Pittman leads at 9.7. Jordan Addison is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 58% of managers started Addison.
Availability & news
Michael PittmanQuestionable
Highlights
Pros
- Every-down role86% of snaps
Cons
- Tough matchupTough · D- vs WR
- Shaky floor3.6 floor
Pros
- Every-down role85% of snaps
Cons
- Shaky floor3.4 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Pittman 35%, Addison 21%.
Pittman is listed: Questionable.
Latest game on the card: Pittman 3.6, Addison 20 (PPR points).
Why Michael Pittman
Start Michael Pittman — projects 9.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, but the role is cooling, carrying a questionable tag.
Michael Pittman projects 9.7 points on a 3.6–12.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 6.5. Track the questionable designation before kickoff. Net: start Michael Pittman this week.
Working for Pittman: Every-down role (86% of snaps).
Working against Pittman: Tough matchup (Tough · D- vs WR), Shaky floor (3.6 floor).
Where Pittman leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.7 vs 9.5); Floor (3.6 vs 3.4); Ceiling (12.0 vs 11.7); Target share (21% vs 18%); Boom rate (29% vs 21%); Targets / game (6.5 vs 5.6); Snap share (86% vs 85%); Red zone targets (18 vs 13).
Why Jordan Addison
Sit Jordan Addison — projects 9.5, an even matchup vs MIA, with a rising role.
Jordan Addison projects 9.5 points on a 3.4–11.7 range. The matchup grades as neutral against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: bench Jordan Addison this week.
Working for Addison: Every-down role (85% of snaps).
Working against Addison: Shaky floor (3.4 floor).
Where Addison leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C vs D-); Implied team total (24.5 vs 20.5); Last 3 avg (8.0 vs 5.2); Last 5 avg (7.7 vs 5.3); vs season (+0.7 vs -1.7); Consistency (42% vs 39%); Bust rate (21% vs 35%); Grade vs WR (recency weighted) (C vs D-); Implied total (24.5 vs 20.5).
Recent form
Michael Pittman's last 5 games: PPR points 7.2, 3.6, 3.1, 8.8, 3.6 (oldest to newest).
Jordan Addison's last 5 games: PPR points 12.5, 1.8, 0, 4.1, 20 (oldest to newest).
Pittman has already beaten Addison's 9.5 projection in 0 of his 5; Addison has beaten Pittman's 9.7 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Michael Pittman (PIT) faces CLE, kickoff Thu 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.
Jordan Addison (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.
What flips it
Pittman's edge is 0.2 points (9.7 to 9.5). Addison's ceiling (11.7) clears Pittman's projection, so a big game from Addison flips it. Pittman's floor (3.6) sits under Addison's projection, so a quiet game from Pittman flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DK Metcalf or DJ Moore12.5 · 12.5
- Zay Flowers or Tee Higgins16.5 · 16.5
- George Pickens or Christian Watson16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)