Addison
WR · MIN vs MIA
Proj pts
9.5pts
opportunity
Odunze
WR · CHI vs NYJ
Proj pts
9pts
market
Jordan Addison or Rome Odunze: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Jordan Addison over Rome Odunze by 0.5. Jordan Addison leads at 9.5. Rome Odunze is the first one out, 0.5 short.
Crowd: 58% of managers started Addison, 40% started Odunze.
Highlights
Pros
- Every-down role85% of snaps
Cons
- Shaky floor3.4 floor
Pros
- Every-down role88% of snaps
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Addison 21%, Odunze 33%.
Latest game on the card: Addison 20, Odunze 7.4 (PPR points).
Why Jordan Addison
Start Jordan Addison — projects 9.5, an even matchup vs MIA, with a rising role.
Jordan Addison projects 9.5 points on a 3.4–11.7 range. The matchup grades as neutral against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: start Jordan Addison this week.
Working for Addison: Every-down role (85% of snaps).
Working against Addison: Shaky floor (3.4 floor).
Where Addison leads the head-to-head: Projection (9.5 vs 9.0); Implied team total (24.5 vs 23.5); Last 3 avg (8.0 vs 7.3); Last 5 avg (7.7 vs 6.6); vs season (+0.7 vs -1.9); Consistency (42% vs 30%); Boom rate (21% vs 17%); Bust rate (21% vs 33%).
Why Rome Odunze
Sit Rome Odunze — projects 9.0, an even matchup vs NYJ, but the role is cooling.
Rome Odunze projects 9.0 points on a 6.6–14.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NYJ. Usage: targets / game at 7.5. Net: bench Rome Odunze this week.
Working for Odunze: Every-down role (88% of snaps).
Where Odunze leads the head-to-head: Floor (6.6 vs 3.4); Ceiling (14.9 vs 11.7); Target share (24% vs 18%); Targets / game (7.5 vs 5.6); Snap share (88% vs 85%); Red zone targets (14 vs 13).
Recent form
Jordan Addison's last 5 games: PPR points 12.5, 1.8, 0, 4.1, 20 (oldest to newest).
Rome Odunze's last 5 games: PPR points 8.3, 2.8, 7.2, 7.3, 7.4 (oldest to newest).
Addison has already beaten Odunze's 9 projection in 2 of his 5; Odunze has beaten Addison's 9.5 in 0 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Jordan Addison (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.
Rome Odunze (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Addison's edge is 0.5 points (9.5 to 9). Odunze's ceiling (14.9) clears Addison's projection, so a big game from Odunze flips it. Addison's floor (3.4) sits under Odunze's projection, so a quiet game from Addison flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Mike Evans or Quentin Johnston9.7 · 9.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.2 · 15.2
- DJ Moore or DK Metcalf12.5 · 12.5
- Tee Higgins or Zay Flowers16.5 · 16.5
- Christian Watson or George Pickens16.8 · 16.8
- Justin Jefferson or KC Concepcion11.1 · 11.1
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)