Higgins
WR · CIN vs JAX
Proj pts
16.8pts
market
Addison
WR · MIN vs MIA
Proj pts
16.3pts
market
Jordan Addison or Tee Higgins: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Tee Higgins over Jordan Addison by 0.5. Tee Higgins leads at 16.8. Jordan Addison is the first one out, 0.6 short.
Crowd: 94% of managers started Higgins, 59% started Addison.
Highlights
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.0 team total
- High floor13.0 floor
Pros
- Every-down role85% of snaps
- Spike upside21.4 ceiling
Cons
- Shaky floor3.4 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 5 avg: Higgins 14.6, Addison 7.7.
Latest game on the card: Higgins 21, Addison 20 (PPR points).
Why Tee Higgins
Start Tee Higgins — projects 16.8, an even matchup vs JAX.
Tee Higgins projects 16.8 points on a 13.0–25.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against JAX. Usage: targets / game at 6.5. Net: start Tee Higgins this week.
Working for Higgins: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), High floor (13.0 floor).
Where Higgins leads the head-to-head: Projection (16.8 vs 16.3); Floor (13.0 vs 3.4); Ceiling (25.0 vs 21.4); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs C); Implied team total (27.0 vs 24.5); Last 3 avg (14.8 vs 8.0); Last 5 avg (14.6 vs 7.7); Consistency (44% vs 42%); Bust rate (20% vs 21%); Targets / game (6.5 vs 5.6); Red zone targets (16 vs 13).
Why Jordan Addison
Sit Jordan Addison — projects 16.3, an even matchup vs MIA, with a rising role.
Jordan Addison projects 16.3 points on a 3.4–21.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: bench Jordan Addison this week.
Working for Addison: Every-down role (85% of snaps), Spike upside (21.4 ceiling).
Working against Addison: Shaky floor (3.4 floor).
Where Addison leads the head-to-head: vs season (+0.7 vs -2.5); Boom rate (21% vs 20%); Snap share (85% vs 81%).
Recent form
Tee Higgins's last 5 games: PPR points 9.9, 18.7, 8.9, 14.5, 21 (oldest to newest).
Jordan Addison's last 5 games: PPR points 12.5, 1.8, 0, 4.1, 20 (oldest to newest).
Higgins has already beaten Addison's 16.3 projection in 2 of his 5; Addison has beaten Higgins's 16.8 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Tee Higgins (CIN) faces JAX, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -2.5.
Jordan Addison (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.
What flips it
Higgins's edge is 0.5 points (16.8 to 16.3). Addison's ceiling (21.4) clears Higgins's projection, so a big game from Addison flips it. Higgins's floor (13) sits under Addison's projection, so a quiet game from Higgins flips it too. Confidence in the call: high.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Jordan Addison comparisons
- Jordan Addison or Michael Wilson16.3 · 16.4
- Christian Watson or Jordan Addison16.8 · 16.3
- Jordan Addison or Rashee Rice16.3 · 15.7
- Jordan Addison or Matthew Golden16.3 · 15.3
More Tee Higgins comparisons
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- George Pickens or Tee Higgins16.9 · 16.8
- Michael Wilson or Tee Higgins16.4 · 16.8
- Josh Downs or Tee Higgins17.3 · 16.8
This week's toughest calls
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)