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Week7 · 2026
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Scoring
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Burden

WR · CHI vs NE

FinalCHI 30 – 24 NE

Final points23.7pts

projected 13.2

Concepcion

WR · CLE vs TEN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Full · calf/quadriceps

Projected points10.3pts

Luther Burden III or KC Concepcion: who should I start in Week 7?

Luther Burden III already played (23.7 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare KC Concepcion with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Mon 7:53 PM ET

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.41 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.+1.5 pts
    • Hurts him: His lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.2.−0.7 pts

    Usually scores 12.2 → projected 13.2+1.0 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeHis team was expected to score 26.8 points, a high scoring spot.
    • His best weeks reach about 20.7 points.
    • He plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

  • What moves his projectionEffect vs his usual week

    • Helps him: His lines put him at 0.27 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.+1.6 pts
    • Everything else+1.1 pts

    Usually scores 7.6 → projected 10.3+2.7 pts

    Also worth knowing

    • EdgeTEN is the 4th softest defense for receivers.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBurden: 13.2 (best)Concepcion: 10.3
TD pointsof the projectionBurden: 2.5 (best)Concepcion: 1.6
Expected TDsthis weekBurden: 0.41 (best)Concepcion: 0.27
Projected team pointsBurden: 26.8 (best)Concepcion: 19.5
Goal line carriesper gameBurden: 0.2 (best)Concepcion: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameBurden: 0.3 (best)Concepcion: 0.2
Red zone targetsper gameBurden: 1.5 (best)Concepcion: 0.5
Role
Snap shareBurden: 61%Concepcion: 68% (best)
Usage worthptsBurden: 13.8 (best)Concepcion: 9.9
Touch shareBurden: 11% (best)Concepcion: 10%
Target shareBurden: 22% (best)Concepcion: 21%
Touches / gameBurden: 6.3 (best)Concepcion: 4.7
Targets / gameBurden: 7.2 (best)Concepcion: 5.8
Air yards shareBurden: 28% (best)Concepcion: 18%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBurden: BelowConcepcion: Below
WOPRBurden: 0.53 (best)Concepcion: 0.44
RZ target shareBurden: 26% (best)Concepcion: 19%
Catch rateBurden: 72% (best)Concepcion: 63%
SeparationBurden: 3.1 ydsConcepcion: 3.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBurden: +0.5 (best)Concepcion: −0.3
Usage worth vs scoredBurden: Earned by usage 13.8Scored 12.2Concepcion: Earned by usage 9.9Scored 6.6
Rush yards / gameBurden: 3.7 (best)Concepcion: 1.8
Points from rushingBurden: 3%Concepcion: 3%
Vacated targets this weekBurden: 1.8 (best)Concepcion: 0.0
High value touches / gameBurden: 5.3 (best)Concepcion: 3.8
Goal line carry shareBurden: 4% (best)Concepcion: 0%
Red zone touches / gameBurden: 1.8 (best)Concepcion: 0.7
Rush success rateBurden: 43% (best)Concepcion: 33%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Burden: 0%Concepcion: 0%
Inside 10 target shareBurden: 20% (best)Concepcion: 0%
Rushing points / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)Concepcion: 0.2 pts / game
Rushing floorBurden: 0.1 pts / game (best)Concepcion: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorBurden: 8.4 (best)Concepcion: 7.6
CeilingBurden: 20.7 (best)Concepcion: 15.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBurden: 8%Concepcion: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Burden: 0%Concepcion: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBurden: 17% (best)Concepcion: 20%
SteadinessBurden: Very steady±5.3 pts · 6 gamesConcepcion: Very steady (best)±3.0 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmBurden: C+Concepcion: A- (best)
Game scriptBurden: Expected to lead (best)Concepcion: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBurden: 1.2Concepcion: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelBurden: NeutralConcepcion: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBurden: 14th (average)Concepcion: 17th (average) (best)
Starting QBBurden: Williams (Active)Concepcion: Watson (Active)
Roof / surfaceBurden: OpenConcepcion: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBurden: Short week (4d)Concepcion: Normal
Opp paceBurden: 9th (fast) (best)Concepcion: 32nd (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBurden: 2.24th (tough)Concepcion: 3.0 (best)13th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBurden: 66%25th (soft)Concepcion: 74% (best)32nd (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedBurden: 9th (tough)Concepcion: 21st (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateBurden: 13% (best)29th (soft)Concepcion: 19%13th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedBurden: 4.1 (best)18th (average)Concepcion: 3.88th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgBurden: 12.6 (best)Concepcion: 6.9
Last 5 avgBurden: 12.8 (best)Concepcion: 6.4
vs seasonBurden: +0.4 (Steady) (best)Concepcion: +0.3 (Steady)
Yards per carryBurden: 3.1 (best)Concepcion: 1.8
Carries / gameBurden: 1.2 (best)Concepcion: 1.0
Yards per route runBurden: 2.47 (best)Concepcion: 1.36
Receiving aDOTBurden: 8.4Concepcion: 6.6
Target share trendBurden: SteadyConcepcion: Left Week 5 hurt
Crowd
Started in leaguesBurden: 82%Concepcion: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBurden: WR21 (best)Concepcion: WR35
Yards linereceivingBurden: 57.5 (best)Concepcion: 38.5

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