Worthy
WR · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.7pts
Coleman
WR · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points6.7pts
Lean
Bench
Keon Coleman or Xavier Worthy: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Xavier Worthy over Keon Coleman.
- Ahead by
- +2.0pts
- over Coleman
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 42%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Keon Coleman instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (10% of his games to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Worthy caught 3 for 11 yards last week (4.1 points).
Highlights
WorthyLeanWR · KC @ DENUsually 8.6+0.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.0.
- toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).
- 5.1floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.1 points.
ColemanFirst outWR · BUF vs BALUsually 10.9−4.2pts this week
Helps him
- 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- BALvs WRsEdgeBAL is the 5th softest defense for receivers.
- +4.8last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.8 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.8ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 29.5 receiving yards, below his usual 47.2.
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.
- −0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.2.
- 15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWorthy: 8.7 (best)Coleman: 6.7
TD pointsof the projectionWorthy: 1.7 (best)Coleman: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekWorthy: 0.29 (best)Coleman: 0.21
Projected team pointsWorthy: 20.8Coleman: 28.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWorthy: 0.7Coleman: 0.8 (best)
Role
Snap shareWorthy: 82% (best)Coleman: 68%
Usage worthptsWorthy: 9.9 (best)Coleman: 7.4
Target shareWorthy: 20% (best)Coleman: 15%
Targets / gameWorthy: 5.8 (best)Coleman: 4.0
Air yards shareWorthy: 27% (best)Coleman: 24%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWorthy: In lineColeman: Above
WOPRWorthy: 0.48 (best)Coleman: 0.40
RZ target shareWorthy: 15%Coleman: 15%
Catch rateWorthy: 69%Coleman: 79% (best)
SeparationWorthy: 3.4 yds (best)Coleman: 2.9 yds
YAC over expectedWorthy: −0.5 (best)Coleman: −0.6
Usage worth vs scoredWorthy: Earned by usage 9.9Scored 8.6Coleman: Earned by usage 7.4Scored 10.9
Vacated targets this weekWorthy: 3.8 (best)Coleman: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareWorthy: 18% (best)Coleman: 17%
Range
FloorWorthy: 5.1 (best)Coleman: 3.5
CeilingWorthy: 14.4 (best)Coleman: 11.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWorthy: 12%Coleman: 28%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Worthy: 0%Coleman: 10% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWorthy: 46%Coleman: 40% (best)
SteadinessWorthy: Steady (best)±4.2 ptsColeman: Up & down±6.8 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWorthy: DColeman: A- (best)
Game scriptWorthy: Expected to leadColeman: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWorthy: 1.4Coleman: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelWorthy: NeutralColeman: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedWorthy: 17th (average) (best)Coleman: 15th (average)
Starting QBWorthy: Mahomes (Active)Coleman: Allen (Active)
Opp defender outWorthy: Elliss (LB)Coleman: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceWorthy: OpengrassColeman: Openturf
Rest / scheduleWorthy: NormalColeman: Off a bye
Opp paceWorthy: 30th (slow)Coleman: 17th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWorthy: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Coleman: 2.911th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedWorthy: 54%2nd (tough)Coleman: 67% (best)29th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWorthy: 9.8Coleman: 15.7 (best)
Last 5 avgWorthy: 9.4Coleman: 12.8 (best)
vs seasonWorthy: +1.2 (Rising)Coleman: +4.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runWorthy: 1.28Coleman: 2.34 (best)
Receiving aDOTWorthy: 8.7Coleman: 14.3
Target share trendWorthy: CoolingColeman: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWorthy: 43%Coleman: 47% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWorthy: WR44 (best)Coleman: WR55
Yards linereceivingWorthy: 33.0 (best)Coleman: 29.5
Deciding on someone else?
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