Hockenson
TE · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.3pts
Pitts
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Lean
Bench
Kyle Pitts or T.J. Hockenson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean T.J. Hockenson over Kyle Pitts.
- Ahead by
- +1.5pts
- over Pitts
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 75%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Kyle Pitts instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (29% of his games to 20%).
Risk
Weather in Kyle Pitts's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
HockensonLeanTE · MIN @ DETUsually 12.2−1.9pts this week
Helps him
- 20%targetsHe draws 20% of his team’s targets, a lead share for a tight end.
Hurts him
- −1.9pts3 linesCatches 4.5 (usual 5.2), receiving yards 40.0 (usual 46.0) and touchdowns 0.30 (usual 0.40) all sit below his usual.
PittsFirst outTE · ATL @ TBUsually 9.0−0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4pts2 linesReceiving yards 35.5 (usual 27.3) and catches 3.5 (usual 2.9) both sit above his usual.
- +8.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 8.1 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionHockenson: 10.3 (best)Pitts: 8.8
TD pointsof the projectionHockenson: 1.8 (best)Pitts: 1.7
Expected TDsthis weekHockenson: 0.30 (best)Pitts: 0.29
Projected team pointsHockenson: 21.3 (best)Pitts: 20.5
Red zone targetsper gameHockenson: 1.2 (best)Pitts: 0.9
Role
Snap shareHockenson: 64% (best)Pitts: 59%
Usage worthptsHockenson: 9.4 (best)Pitts: 6.7
Target shareHockenson: 20% (best)Pitts: 13%
Targets / gameHockenson: 5.3 (best)Pitts: 3.9
Air yards shareHockenson: 19% (best)Pitts: 11%
Vacated targets this weekHockenson: 1.7 (best)Pitts: 0.0
RZ target shareHockenson: 33% (best)Pitts: 24%
Inside 10 target shareHockenson: 60% (best)Pitts: 36%
Catch rateHockenson: 84% (best)Pitts: 74%
SeparationHockenson: 2.9 yds (best)Pitts: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedHockenson: −0.02Pitts: +2.0 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredHockenson: Earned by usage 9.4Scored 10.5Pitts: Earned by usage 6.7Scored 9.0
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsHockenson: AbovePitts: Above
WOPRHockenson: 0.44 (best)Pitts: 0.29
Range
FloorHockenson: 5.6 (best)Pitts: 3.4
CeilingHockenson: 16.7 (best)Pitts: 15.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerHockenson: 19%Pitts: 38%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Hockenson: 20%Pitts: 29% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterHockenson: 20% (best)Pitts: 43%
SteadinessHockenson: Up & down (best)±8.5 pts · 5 gamesPitts: Volatile±8.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionHockenson: A+ (best)2026, 6 gmPitts: B2026, 7 gm
Game scriptHockenson: Expected to trailPitts: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterHockenson: 1.0 (best)Pitts: 1.7
Defense funnelHockenson: NeutralPitts: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedHockenson: 32nd (soft) (best)Pitts: 14th (average)
Starting QBHockenson: Murray (Active)Pitts: Penix (Active)
WeatherHockenson: IndoorsPitts: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceHockenson: DometurfPitts: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleHockenson: NormalPitts: Normal
Opp paceHockenson: 4th (fast) (best)Pitts: 14th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameHockenson: 1.3 (best)32nd (soft)Pitts: 0.618th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedHockenson: 77% (best)27th (soft)Pitts: 70%12th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgHockenson: 13.4Pitts: 17.1 (best)
Last 5 avgHockenson: 9.8Pitts: 12.1 (best)
vs seasonHockenson: +2.9 (Rising)Pitts: +8.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runHockenson: 2.24 (best)Pitts: 1.41
Receiving aDOTHockenson: 6.8Pitts: 5.0
Target share trendHockenson: Left Week 5 hurtPitts: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesHockenson: 76%Pitts: 80% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterHockenson: TE9 (best)Pitts: TE14
Yards linereceivingHockenson: 40.0 (best)Pitts: 35.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.