Scoring
#1 Start

McConkey

WR · LAC vs SEA

Sun 4:25 PM

Proj pts

12.2pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Hollins

WR · NE vs BUF

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

12.2pts

market

Lower Conf

Ladd McConkey or Mack Hollins: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Ladd McConkey over Mack Hollins; the two are level at 12.2. Ladd McConkey leads at 12.2. Mack Hollins is the first one out, 0.1 short.

Crowd: 69% of managers started McConkey.

Availability & news

  • Ladd McConkeyPractice: Limited

    McConkey (foot) was seen walking out of the locker room with a limp after not taking part in Thursday's practice, Kris Rhim of ESPN reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Ladd McConkeyStart
WR · LAC vs SEA

Cons

  • Low team total17.8 team total
  • Tough matchupTough · D vs WR
Mack HollinsBench
WR · NE vs BUF

Cons

  • Thin volume4.6 targets/g
  • Tough matchupTough · D vs WR

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

McConkeyStart
HollinsBench
Projection12.212.2
Floor4.26.8
Ceiling17.514.5
Target share21%16%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)DD
Implied team total17.820.8

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: McConkey 15, Hollins 6.

McConkey (Practice: Limited): “McConkey (foot) was seen walking out of the locker room with a limp after not taking part in Thursday's practice, Kris Rhim of ESPN reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: McConkey 10.6, Hollins 14.7 (PPR points).

Why Ladd McConkey

Start Ladd McConkey — projects 12.2, a tough matchup vs SEA.

Ladd McConkey projects 12.2 points on a 4.2–17.5 range. The matchup grades as tough against SEA. Usage: targets / game at 6.6. Net: start Ladd McConkey this week.

Working against McConkey: Low team total (17.8 team total), Tough matchup (Tough · D vs WR).

Where McConkey leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (17.5 vs 14.5); Target share (21% vs 16%); Last 3 avg (12.1 vs 9.2); Last 5 avg (10.9 vs 10.4); vs season (+0.9 vs +0.6); Targets / game (6.6 vs 4.6); Snap share (78% vs 68%); Red zone targets (15 vs 6).

Why Mack Hollins

Sit Mack Hollins — projects 12.2, a tough matchup vs BUF.

Mack Hollins projects 12.2 points on a 6.8–14.5 range. The matchup grades as tough against BUF. Usage: targets / game at 4.6. Net: bench Mack Hollins this week.

Working against Hollins: Thin volume (4.6 targets/g), Tough matchup (Tough · D vs WR).

Where Hollins leads the head-to-head: Floor (6.8 vs 4.2); Implied team total (20.8 vs 17.8); Consistency (45% vs 41%); Boom rate (21% vs 19%); Bust rate (14% vs 31%).

Recent form

Ladd McConkey's last 5 games: PPR points 14.3, 4.1, 19.2, 6.5, 10.6 (oldest to newest).

Mack Hollins's last 4 games: PPR points 13.9, 9.1, 3.8, 14.7 (oldest to newest).

McConkey has already beaten Hollins's 12.2 projection in 2 of his 5; Hollins has beaten McConkey's 12.2 in 2 of his 4.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Ladd McConkey (LAC) faces SEA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 17.8, spread +7.0.

Mack Hollins (NE) faces BUF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.8, spread +7.0.

What flips it

McConkey and Hollins are level on projection (12.2). Hollins's ceiling (14.5) clears McConkey's projection, so a big game from Hollins flips it. McConkey's floor (4.2) sits under Hollins's projection, so a quiet game from McConkey flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.